Hey Tomlin/Colber take note...playoff week 1 it's still defense that wins

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  • Northern_Blitz
    Legend
    • Dec 2008
    • 24373

    #46
    Originally posted by Steel Maniac
    just what I said, " a lot of defense and some offense". Not a major imbalance on either side. But we are missing the "good coaching" part .

    "3 playoff wins in 8 years"
    I think our biggest issues is lack of talent on the D side of the ball and back luck in terms of turnovers and a kicker losing it.

    There were coaching issues this year (particularly continuing to put a LB on a WR3), but I think their importance was dwarfed by the issues above.

    I think you need to update your quote to "3 playoff wins and 3 1st round byes in 8 years".

    If you count the byes as wins (because they advance through the wild card round), that's more than twice the number of wins as an average NFL team (11 playoff wins / year * 8 years / 32 teams = 2.75 expected wins in 8 years).

    But, "Fire Mike Tomlin because he had 218% of the expected playoff wins over 8 years!" doesn't work as well as your (intentionally?) misleading quote. [edit : the math is a bit of here. Didn't realize the date range was cherry picked. I updated it on the next page.]
    Last edited by Northern_Blitz; 01-08-2019, 02:10 AM.

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    • brothervad
      Pro Bowler
      • Dec 2008
      • 1914

      #47
      Originally posted by tiproast
      I like puma concolor as much as anyone, but I don't think that's the word you want there. Perhaps you originally wrote "tantamount" and your software auto-corrected it?

      Lol, nope I can't blame auto correct. It was me. Unfortunately, when you are at work and trying to type faster than you think, you tend to do such things and in the end is not tantamount to success.



      brothervad

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      • Steel Maniac
        Banned
        • Apr 2017
        • 19472

        #48
        Originally posted by Northern_Blitz
        I think our biggest issues is lack of talent on the D side of the ball and back luck in terms of turnovers and a kicker losing it.

        There were coaching issues this year (particularly continuing to put a LB on a WR3), but I think their importance was dwarfed by the issues above.

        I think you need to update your quote to "3 playoff wins and 3 1st round byes in 8 years".

        If you count the byes as wins (because they advance through the wild card round), that's more than twice the number of wins as an average NFL team (11 playoff wins / year * 8 years / 32 teams = 2.75 expected wins in 8 years).

        But, "Fire Mike Tomlin because he had 218% of the expected playoff wins over 8 years!" doesn't work as well as your (intentionally?) misleading quote.
        Bad luck in turnovers?????????? Easily over the last 6 years our defense is in the bottom 6 almost every year in turnovers. It’s not “bad luck” that this defense hardly gets turnovers. Come on.

        Comment

        • NorthCoast
          Legend
          • Sep 2008
          • 26636

          #49
          Originally posted by Steel Maniac
          Bad luck in turnovers?????????? Easily over the last 6 years our defense is in the bottom 6 almost every year in turnovers. It’s not “bad luck” that this defense hardly gets turnovers. Come on.
          I think he meant bad luck with 'offensive turnovers'.

          Maniac, you're exaggerating once again. The Steelers NFL rank in takeaways:

          2018: 29th
          2017: 17th
          2016: 14th
          2015: 4th
          2014: 23rd
          2013: 28th

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          • Steel Maniac
            Banned
            • Apr 2017
            • 19472

            #50
            Originally posted by NorthCoast
            I think he meant bad luck with 'offensive turnovers'.

            Maniac, you're exaggerating once again. The Steelers NFL rank in takeaways:

            2018: 29th
            2017: 17th
            2016: 14th
            2015: 4th
            2014: 23rd
            2013: 28th
            There is no exaggeration. Other then one year those are bad numbers

            You constantly talk down to people who don't share your views; Just exchange ideas and move on.

            Comment

            • NorthCoast
              Legend
              • Sep 2008
              • 26636

              #51
              Originally posted by Steel Maniac
              There is no exaggeration. Other then one year those are bad numbers

              You constantly talk down to people who don't share your views; Just exchange ideas and move on.
              I am stating facts; 'bottom 6 almost every year...' by my count 2 out of six isn't "almost every year". Stop exaggerating.

              Comment

              • Northern_Blitz
                Legend
                • Dec 2008
                • 24373

                #52
                Originally posted by NorthCoast
                I think he meant bad luck with 'offensive turnovers'.

                Maniac, you're exaggerating once again. The Steelers NFL rank in takeaways:

                2018: 29th
                2017: 17th
                2016: 14th
                2015: 4th
                2014: 23rd
                2013: 28th
                This.

                I would also have expected more strip sacks when we increased sacks from ~30 two years ago to ~50 the last two years.

                I think the lack of picks is due to lack of secondary talent over coaching or scheme.

                I also think the sack increase is probably mostly due to scheme since talent is mostly the same (added Watt, but lost Shazier).

                Comment

                • Steel Maniac
                  Banned
                  • Apr 2017
                  • 19472

                  #53
                  Again, we’ve been talking about the lack of turnovers this defense has generated for years. A one year aberration means nothing. But if that gets you thru the night to feel better, so be it.

                  Comment

                  • Steel Maniac
                    Banned
                    • Apr 2017
                    • 19472

                    #54
                    There is no exxageration...

                    3 playoff wins in 8 years.

                    Comment

                    • Northern_Blitz
                      Legend
                      • Dec 2008
                      • 24373

                      #55
                      Originally posted by Steel Maniac
                      There is no exxageration...

                      3 playoff wins in 8 years.
                      I got the math wrong here, check below
                      Last edited by Northern_Blitz; 01-08-2019, 02:07 AM.

                      Comment

                      • Northern_Blitz
                        Legend
                        • Dec 2008
                        • 24373

                        #56
                        Changed the math because I didn't realize Maniac was cherry picking his range of dates.

                        Originally posted by Northern_Blitz
                        Since we're repeating things and you seem to have missed this last time [edit math was wrong the first time, updated below]

                        I think you need to update your quote to "7 playoff wins and 3 1st round byes and 1 SB in 10 years". This goes for MT's full tenure inserted of your cherry picked range.

                        If you count the byes as wins (because they advance through the wild card round), that's almost three times the number of wins as an average NFL team (11 playoff wins / year * 10 years / 32 teams = 3.45 expected wins in 10 years).

                        But, "Fire Mike Tomlin because he had 290% of the expected playoff wins over 10 years!" doesn't work as well as your (intentionally?) misleading quote.
                        Last edited by Northern_Blitz; 01-08-2019, 02:09 AM.

                        Comment

                        • NJ-STEELER
                          Legend
                          • May 2008
                          • 12563

                          #57
                          its pretty sad when you see college secondaries like tonight make plays on the ball that our DBs never do

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                          • Mr.wizard
                            Legend
                            • May 2014
                            • 6686

                            #58
                            Originally posted by NJ-STEELER
                            food for thought

                            defenses - top 5 in yards, top 6 in points are all done for the year

                            offenses - top 6 of 7 in points (steelers tied with other #6) are playing next week


                            not quite what the thread title is stating
                            I was going to say the same thing, all your top defensive teams are out.

                            Comment

                            • Steel Maniac
                              Banned
                              • Apr 2017
                              • 19472

                              #59
                              Originally posted by Northern_Blitz
                              Changed the math because I didn't realize Maniac was cherry picking his range of dates.
                              I stand by what I said. Period. 3 playoff wins in 8 years. Now you trying to throw in byes ?? Please.

                              Comment

                              • Steel Maniac
                                Banned
                                • Apr 2017
                                • 19472

                                #60
                                It seems that a couple of you guys can’t deal with the hard truth of Tomlin’s last eight year playoff record. So now your new trick is to try and soften it by saying the byes are a win??? Get out of here. The TBW are working overtime now!! Lol

                                Tomlin is like a kid who gets the letter grade B’s on the homework ( regular season games) then gets an “F” on the actual test (playoffs).

                                3 playoff wins in 8 years. Stop trying to make up stuff to soften it; with the teams we’ve had in those 8 years that’s underachievment. No way around it.

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