PIT at CIN

[Starlifter]

Steelers are now favored by 14.

that should be what they win by. but why do I have a pit in my stomach........

[hawaiiansteel]

that should be what they win by. but why do I have a pit in my stomach........

you can relax, Ryan Finley is a horrible QB.

[NorthCoast]

weather looking decent; clouds, 40s, no rain...

... all eyes on DJ tonight... coaches talked him up as having a good week of practice....redemption or fail!

[SidSmythe]

Should be an easy win.
Pad the Stats!

[flippy]

Steelers are now favored by 14.

Since 2010, we've beat the Bengals by 14+ in 6 of 21 chances which is just over a quarter of the time.

We barely beat the Ravens backups' backups a few weeks ago.

I think this is going to be a nail biter.

And I predict even the most optimistic posters will curse several times during the game.

I'll put the over under on curses at 7.

[flippy]

Should be an easy win.
Pad the Stats!

I didn't hear Tuitt was out again

[NorthCoast]

Since 2010, we've beat the Bengals by 14+ in 6 of 21 chances which is just over a quarter of the time.

We barely beat the Ravens backups' backups a few weeks ago.

I think this is going to be a nail biter.

And I predict even the most optimistic posters will curse several times during the game.

I'll put the over under on curses at 7.

Your lack of confidence might be contagious.... but something tells me the Steelers still have demons to exercise from the last few weeks.

[Oviedo]

Believe in your team. Enough of the hand wringing

[NorthCoast]

Steelers are now favored by 14.

Ben Roethlisberger also doesn't have a great track record of being a double-digit favorite. Over his career, the Steelers QB is 12-23-1 ATS as a double-digit favorite and that number only gets more concerning for those betting the Steelers when you account for being a double-digit favorite on the road. Under that circumstance, Big Ben is 2-11 ATS in his career. Last year, Ryan Finley started three games for the Bengals and went 0-3 SU and 1-2 ATS.

___________

[Northern_Blitz]

Connor questionable...im gonna ask santa for a new rb for Christmas lol

I'm asking him to deliver the fountain of youth to Big Ben (or maybe a few bottles of Felix Felicis since I've been reading a bunch of Harry Potter with my girls)

[Northern_Blitz]

Since 2010, we've beat the Bengals by 14+ in 6 of 21 chances which is just over a quarter of the time.

We barely beat the Ravens backups' backups a few weeks ago.

I think this is going to be a nail biter.

And I predict even the most optimistic posters will curse several times during the game.

I'll put the over under on curses at 7.

I thought we'd loose last time against Cincy, so I'm clearly not the right person to be making predictions.

But my guess is that you're right and it's closer than we'd like it to be.

I don't think we cover a 14 point spread (unless maybe the D scores a time or two). That's too many points for most NFL games.

Just hoping for a win and to see some encouraging signs from the O.

[Northern_Blitz]

___________

That's interesting.

I wonder what the league average ATS is with double digits lines. My guess is that it's usually a bad bet to pick a team to cover a double digit spread.

[flippy]

I thought we'd loose last time against Cincy, so I'm clearly not the right person to be making predictions.

But my guess is that you're right and it's closer than we'd like it to be.

I don't think we cover a 14 point spread (unless maybe the D scores a time or two). That's too many points for most NFL games.

Just hoping for a win and to see some encouraging signs from the O.

I want to see the encouraging signs for sure.

If we lose and end up with the #3 seed, it might not be so bad especially if the Ravens sneak into the #7. Then they can beat the Bills and KC for us.

i don’t really care if we back door into the SuperBowl somehow. We’re just gonna get there.

I think now is the time for Tomlin and team to start tuning in the performances from here on out.

[Northern_Blitz]

I want to see the encouraging signs for sure.

If we lose and end up with the #3 seed, it might not be so bad especially if the Ravens sneak into the #7. Then they can beat the Bills and KC for us.

i don’t really care if we back door into the SuperBowl somehow. We’re just gonna get there.

I think now is the time for Tomlin and team to start tuning in the performances from here on out.

This. And I think 3rd is probably where we end up after losing to BUF.

I think the Rats take the 7th spot.

And I'd rather play the Colts or Browns then watch us give up 200+ rushing yards against the Rats again in a game that probably gets decided by a heave into the end zone by one of the two teams.

This assumes that the Titans hold on to their division. I don't particularly want to play them either.

[NorthCoast]

That's interesting.

I wonder what the league average ATS is with double digits lines. My guess is that it's usually a bad bet to pick a team to cover a double digit spread.

Found this;

When a good team is playing a bad team, thus creating a large point spread, the good team is likely to score most if not all of these additional points. This would make it reasonable to think that double-digit favorites cover more often with the surge of offense in the NFL.

Is this hypothesis* correct? After crunching the numbers, double digit favorites are an astounding 69-51-1 against the spread. That’s a 57.5% win rate if you blindly bet these big spreads. Conclusion: Past results over the past five years support our hypothesis of double-digit favorites covering at a higher rate!

If you couple this info with Roethlisberger's struggles as a double digit favorite, this might be a game you want to stay away from betting the Steelers ATS.