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This author did a statistical analysis on Next gen stats data to determine if there is a relationship between the highest rated QBs and the time to throw. The dataset is from 2018-2022 time frame for all QBs that played a minimum of number of games.
Warning that the full article is for stat junkies only. https://statsurge.substack.com/p/tim...ional-football
But here's some snippets of conclusions:
Some more interesting conclusions (after clustering QBs by QBR):
On the last point, I checked Fields' time to throw for 2021-2023:
2021: 2.91
2022: 3.12
2023: 3.23
Not a comforting trend if he is supposed to be the future. He gets a reset this year since he will be in a new system. Let's see if this changes.
Warning that the full article is for stat junkies only. https://statsurge.substack.com/p/tim...ional-football
But here's some snippets of conclusions:
- Not exactly a shocker but long throws take longer times to throw:
Some more interesting conclusions (after clustering QBs by QBR):
- quarterbacks can find success at different times to throw, and there is no ?right? timing that quarterbacks should aim for.
- this means as long as a quarterback is throwing with appropriate timing within their offensive system, they have the potential to find success.
- found that throwing the football faster than expected is related to a higher quarterback rating. Although this difference in QBR is not dramatic, it is significant and the little differences make up the biggest changes in professional football.
- would recommend isolating individual players within one offensive system, and inspecting how their time to throw changes over time. If they get faster throwing the ball, without increasing their interception rate, I would highlight that passer as a potential breakout player.
On the last point, I checked Fields' time to throw for 2021-2023:
2021: 2.91
2022: 3.12
2023: 3.23
Not a comforting trend if he is supposed to be the future. He gets a reset this year since he will be in a new system. Let's see if this changes.
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