Moats thinks Spillane playing over Bush could mean something in camp

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  • NorthCoast
    Legend
    • Sep 2008
    • 26626

    Originally posted by TheRealTazz864
    I'm pretty sure that any three rushes that average over 3.3 would be a first down... Any run over 10 yards is a first down,,, Ergo... any more yardage a rush goes over that is gravy.
    Footballoutsiders tracks an OL metric called 'power success'. This is any 3rd or 4th down run of 2 yds or less that results in a 1st down. Steelers ranked 27th.

    Harris' avg yds before contact per attempt ranked him 45th in the NFL for RBs with minimum 100 atts.

    Comment

    • Joel Buchsbaum
      Legend
      • Jan 2021
      • 7744

      Originally posted by Northern_Blitz
      Here's a couple quickly before I put the kids to bed. These are good runs where I think a guy that breaks away from NFL defenders would score:
      - LSU Q1 7:09
      - FLA Q4 6:05
      - ND Q1 4:55 (a great show of athleticism to hurdle the guy on this play. But gets run down. This was one of the ones I shared for Felt)

      Again. These are all still very good runs. Great highlights for Harris (and for the OL too because he's often not touched for a long time).

      But I don't think he has breakaway speed. And that's OK. Neither did Bell and he was a very good back (I think even elite in his prime.

      This is like how NJ says that people attack Ben when they point out that he has a high INT% in the playoffs compared to other HoF QBs. I think it's just the truth. Being a fan of the players (and I like Ben and Najee) and the team doesn't change that.

      As I've said many times, one of the things I really like about Najee is that he seems like the kind of player you don't feel bad cheering for. Like he's a decent human off the field too.
      Thank you for this. I know this game well, some know more than I, but I've seen enough football to tell you that a true 4.40 back or 4.45 back as timed by NFL combine with lasers pulls away form people in the 2nd level ( DL and LB's ) and can out run most DB's. We don't see that form Harris. Hence by my eye he doesn't have that type of breakaway speed. You see it too. Anyone who watches this film or NFL film should come to the same conclusion. Whether or not they admit it is a different story. They should if the honor or their word means anything to them and if they do they are a-okay with me.

      Your right on Ben, and Bell.
      Tomlin hasn't won a playoff game in seven years and counting. The earliest will be eight years. I guess that in Art Rooney's II, opinion is worth a 3 year extension.

      Our 2024 draft looks to be grade A. Our 2023 draft is an A. The roster is talented, but Mike Tomlin is still the head coach.

      *** Mike Tomlin is the best coach since the AFL- NFL merger that has not won a playoff game in 8 seasons or more. It's either him or Lewis. ***

      Comment

      • Northern_Blitz
        Legend
        • Dec 2008
        • 24353

        Originally posted by NorthCoast
        Footballoutsiders tracks an OL metric called 'power success'. This is any 3rd or 4th down run of 2 yds or less that results in a 1st down. Steelers ranked 27th.

        Harris' avg yds before contact per attempt ranked him 45th in the NFL for RBs with minimum 100 atts.
        And I wonder if they was an improvement from the year before.

        I'm hoping that the change at C makes a big difference here. I think / hope getting average C play will be much better than getting bad C play.

        Comment

        • TheRealTazz864
          Pro Bowler
          • Jun 2022
          • 2163

          Originally posted by Joel Buchsbaum
          [SIZE=5]
          I urge anyone to read this article.
          I urge anyone who doesn't want to exacerbate this exercise in weed-dwelling to ignore this article and look forward to putting that energy behind the upcoming season...

          Comment

          • Northern_Blitz
            Legend
            • Dec 2008
            • 24353

            Originally posted by Joel Buchsbaum
            Thank you for this. I know this game well, some know more than I, but I've seen enough football to tell you that a true 4.40 back or 4.45 back as timed by NFL combine with lasers pulls away form people in the 2nd level ( DL and LB's ) and can out run most DB's. We don't see that form Harris. Hence by my eye he doesn't have that type of breakaway speed. You see it too. Anyone who watches this film or NFL film should come to the same conclusion. Whether or not they admit it is a different story. They should if the honor or their word means anything to them and if they do they are a-okay with me.

            Your right on Ben, and Bell.
            I don't buy into combine numbers too much.

            This is where Wizards highlight is important IMO.

            Maybe if he grinds them down all game, he outruns them at the end. Kind of like Bettis "getting skinny" in the 4th.

            Again, he can still be a very good to elite back without breakaway speed. Bell didn't have that kind of speed either.

            Comment

            • Bawb the Revelator
              Pro Bowler
              • Jan 2022
              • 1975

              Originally posted by Northern_Blitz
              I don't buy into combine numbers too much.

              This is where Wizards highlight is important IMO.

              Maybe if he grinds them down all game, he outruns them at the end. Kind of like Bettis "getting skinny" in the 4th.

              Again, he can still be a very good to elite back without breakaway speed. Bell didn't have that kind of speed either.
              No one can or should touch the last 12 or 15 posts here. Good jawb, as Cowher used to say.

              Comment

              • Mr.wizard
                Legend
                • May 2014
                • 6686

                Originally posted by Northern_Blitz
                I don't buy into combine numbers too much.

                This is where Wizards highlight is important IMO.

                Maybe if he grinds them down all game, he outruns them at the end. Kind of like Bettis "getting skinny" in the 4th.

                Again, he can still be a very good to elite back without breakaway speed. Bell didn't have that kind of speed either.
                I dont think he has too grind them down. Breaking runs in the NFL is not about speed for runningbacks, its about blocking and making someone miss at the second level. If a running back gets behind the defense it is extremely hard to catch him because these guys all run fast and the field is only 100 long yards. Najee didnt break off big runs because the blocking was poor and the defense kept him in front, I would guess that if you looked at the numbers teams werent playing 8 man fronts against us, they were just keeping things in front because our passing game was so inept and we couldnt block.

                Comment

                • NorthCoast
                  Legend
                  • Sep 2008
                  • 26626

                  Originally posted by Northern_Blitz
                  And I wonder if they was an improvement from the year before.

                  I'm hoping that the change at C makes a big difference here. I think / hope getting average C play will be much better than getting bad C play.
                  It was an 'improvement'. The OL was 30th in power success in 2020. Baby steps I guess but at least directionally good.

                  Comment

                  • Joel Buchsbaum
                    Legend
                    • Jan 2021
                    • 7744

                    Originally posted by TheRealTazz864
                    They REPORT times at the combine... They ALLEGE "school times..."
                    Such information has been said. Yet some poster choose to quote it as it's the gospel truth.
                    Tomlin hasn't won a playoff game in seven years and counting. The earliest will be eight years. I guess that in Art Rooney's II, opinion is worth a 3 year extension.

                    Our 2024 draft looks to be grade A. Our 2023 draft is an A. The roster is talented, but Mike Tomlin is still the head coach.

                    *** Mike Tomlin is the best coach since the AFL- NFL merger that has not won a playoff game in 8 seasons or more. It's either him or Lewis. ***

                    Comment

                    • Joel Buchsbaum
                      Legend
                      • Jan 2021
                      • 7744

                      Quote Originally Posted by Northern_Blitz View Post
                      Pittsburgh Steelers blog featuring news, discussion & merchandise!


                      Originally posted by Joel Buchsbaum

                      I urge anyone to read this article. It shows in college Harris benefited from Alabama blocking and had 47 runs of 10 yards or more! However on those runs his point of engagement happened 10.6 yards past the line of scrimmage. In other words he had amazing blocking, and a path free for him. Not one of his runs came without great blocking. Any back that was drafted and starts at Alabama would have these # 's and the faster/more eleusive backs would have taken many of these runs for more yardage. The OL at Alabama makes evaluation of backs tough. But if you crunch the numbers and watch the film a different story like this can emerge.

                      - JB
                      Bumping this one more time to make sure everyone can see it!
                      Tomlin hasn't won a playoff game in seven years and counting. The earliest will be eight years. I guess that in Art Rooney's II, opinion is worth a 3 year extension.

                      Our 2024 draft looks to be grade A. Our 2023 draft is an A. The roster is talented, but Mike Tomlin is still the head coach.

                      *** Mike Tomlin is the best coach since the AFL- NFL merger that has not won a playoff game in 8 seasons or more. It's either him or Lewis. ***

                      Comment

                      • Mr.wizard
                        Legend
                        • May 2014
                        • 6686

                        Originally posted by Joel Buchsbaum
                        Quote Originally Posted by Northern_Blitz View Post
                        Pittsburgh Steelers blog featuring news, discussion & merchandise!




                        Bumping this one more time to make sure everyone can see it!
                        All of those 47 runs his point of engagement was 10.6 yds???? Not one of his runs came without great blocking????

                        Comment

                        • feltdizz
                          Legend
                          • May 2008
                          • 27482

                          lmao at arguing about long runs like its something that happens every week with the 4.4 RB’s.

                          Joe Mixon is pretty fast. His longest run was 32 yards last year.

                          It’s RARE and you need great blocking, a bad angle on D and usually have to beat 1 man.

                          if it was strictly about speed we would see guy’s busting ling runs every week.
                          Steelers 27
                          Rats 16

                          Comment

                          • feltdizz
                            Legend
                            • May 2008
                            • 27482

                            Originally posted by Joel Buchsbaum
                            Quote Originally Posted by Northern_Blitz View Post
                            Pittsburgh Steelers blog featuring news, discussion & merchandise!




                            Bumping this one more time to make sure everyone can see it!
                            link is broken
                            Steelers 27
                            Rats 16

                            Comment

                            • Northern_Blitz
                              Legend
                              • Dec 2008
                              • 24353

                              Originally posted by Mr.wizard
                              I dont think he has too grind them down. Breaking runs in the NFL is not about speed for runningbacks, its about blocking and making someone miss at the second level. If a running back gets behind the defense it is extremely hard to catch him because these guys all run fast and the field is only 100 long yards. Najee didnt break off big runs because the blocking was poor and the defense kept him in front, I would guess that if you looked at the numbers teams werent playing 8 man fronts against us, they were just keeping things in front because our passing game was so inept and we couldnt block.
                              If that were true, I think Bell would have had more long runs.

                              You want speed too.

                              But it's not the only trait that matters. And I think Najee has many traits that are more important than speed.

                              But he's not likely to get those big runs very often.

                              But he will do many other things consistently well.

                              Comment

                              • Northern_Blitz
                                Legend
                                • Dec 2008
                                • 24353

                                Originally posted by NorthCoast
                                It was an 'improvement'. The OL was 30th in power success in 2020. Baby steps I guess but at least directionally good.
                                I wonder what the distribution looks like (re: how tightly the groups are around the average).

                                My guess is that 30 is pretty bad (after having seen it).

                                27th is also probably pretty bad.

                                But I bet if you can get to around 20, you're pretty tight to the mean (even though you're technically below average).

                                I think we'll need to get there to look half-decent this year.

                                So...fingers cross (toes too).

                                Comment

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