”From the 2010-2018 season Mike Tomlin has only won 3 playoff games.

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  • Captain Lemming
    Legend
    • Jun 2008
    • 16041

    ”From the 2010-2018 season Mike Tomlin has only won 3 playoff games.

    I am going to positively DESTROY this FLAWED logic.

    BTW Maniac, kudos for giving the coaches props on the last game. Again shows you are not a blind hater.

    But I AM going to go after your sig as it demonstrates a major error in your reasoning.

    Let me ask......why are we looking at THAT time frame specifically? 8 seasons? Kinda weird.

    First of all you say, “between 2010 and 2018”.

    After the 2010 season.....in February 2011.....we played the Packers in the SB.
    I think you “missed” a few playoff wins that year.

    But I get your point. You meant, “from the 2011 season”. OK, lets go there.

    We are looking at the time when “Cowhers players had left”. But are we.....really?

    2011 roster included:
    Troy
    Ike
    Kiesel
    Harrison
    Ward
    Miller
    Farrior
    Casey
    Troy
    Clark
    A Smith
    Hoke
    McFadden
    Starks
    Colon

    So we are NOT in fact looking at the period when the core players from Cowher had left.

    But we DID NOT WIN a playof game that season which began a playoff win drought......WITH Cowhers AGING players.

    The drought ENDED as Tomlin drafted players became core to the team.

    If you HONESTLY want to look at Tomlin leading HIS players, here is a real “round” figure that correlates to Tomlin your point.

    Last 5 seasons. Cowhers guys were almost all gone.
    Maniac, compare that period of success (playoff or regular season) to ANY AFC coach not name Belichick.
    I’ll give you the Broncos, who won a SB......a success for one season.

    Anybody else?

    The fact is that an 8 year period has ZERO correlation to Tomlins players.

    It was chosen because it fits a narrative.
    Last edited by Captain Lemming; 10-16-2019, 11:13 AM.
    sigpic



    In view of the fact that Mike Tomlin has matched Cowhers record I give him the designation:

    TCFCLTC-
    The Coach Formerly Considered Less Than Cowher
  • Northern_Blitz
    Legend
    • Dec 2008
    • 24373

    #2
    Thanks Captain

    It really feels like that time frame is cherry picked specifically because it starts after the SB appearance, but includes the lack of playoff games because of the rebuild.

    Your work here shows that the idea of "Cowher's players leaving" doesn't coincide with this time period either. This strengthens the idea that the time frame wasn't selected for that reason.

    I wonder if this narrative will persist even though you've disproven it here?

    Comment

    • Captain Lemming
      Legend
      • Jun 2008
      • 16041

      #3
      Originally posted by Northern_Blitz
      Thanks Captain

      It really feels like that time frame is cherry picked specifically because it starts after the SB appearance, but includes the lack of playoff games because of the rebuild.

      Your work here shows that the idea of "Cowher's players leaving" doesn't coincide with this time period either. This strengthens the idea that the time frame wasn't selected for that reason.

      I wonder if this narrative will persist even though you've disproven it here?
      It is what happens when you come up with a conclusion and THEN try to justify it with data.

      It seems correct, because the team DID undergo that transition.

      It is not intentionally misleading, just assumed the facts fit the predetermined narrative without checking the actual timeline.
      sigpic



      In view of the fact that Mike Tomlin has matched Cowhers record I give him the designation:

      TCFCLTC-
      The Coach Formerly Considered Less Than Cowher

      Comment

      • ikestops85
        Hall of Famer
        • Jun 2008
        • 3724

        #4
        Give it a little time … he's busy moving the goal posts.
        As many on this site think ... The Rooney's suck, Colbert sucks, Tomlin sucks, the coaches suck, and the players suck.

        but Go Steelers!!!

        Comment

        • Northern_Blitz
          Legend
          • Dec 2008
          • 24373

          #5
          Originally posted by Captain Lemming
          It is what happens when you come up with a conclusion and THEN try to justify it with data.

          It seems correct, because the team DID undergo that transition.

          It is not intentionally misleading, just assumed the facts fit the predetermined narrative without checking the actual timeline.
          I think you're probably right here.

          And I'll believe you're right when the narritive dies.

          Comment

          • Oh wow
            Hall of Famer
            • Mar 2019
            • 2753

            #6
            Now you know the people who use this argument aren’t going to defend it with actual data or analysis.

            “8 years, 8 yeeeears”

            Comment

            • whatever
              Legend
              • Sep 2019
              • 5795

              #7
              What part of 3 wins in 8 years isn't factual?
              How is it possible to have the best owner, best front office, best gm, best HC, good/great drafts every year and good FA acquisitions every year, but only have 3 playoff wins in 14 years?

              Comment

              • Steel Maniac
                Banned
                • Apr 2017
                • 19472

                #8
                Originally posted by Captain Lemming
                I am going to positively DESTROY this FLAWED logic.

                BTW Maniac, kudos for giving the coaches props on the last game. Again shows you are not a blind hater.

                But I AM going to go after your sig as it demonstrates a major error in your reasoning.

                Let me ask......why are we looking at THAT time frame specifically? 8 seasons? Kinda weird.

                First of all you say, “between 2010 and 2018”.

                After the 2010 season.....in February 2011.....we played the Packers in the SB.
                I think you “missed” a few playoff wins that year.

                But I get your point. You meant, “from the 2011 season”. OK, lets go there.

                We are looking at the time when “Cowhers players had left”. But are we.....really?

                2011 roster included:
                Troy
                Ike
                Kiesel
                Harrison
                Ward
                Miller
                Farrior
                Casey
                Troy
                Clark
                A Smith
                Hoke
                McFadden
                Starks
                Colon

                So we are NOT in fact looking at the period when the core players from Cowher had left.

                But we DID NOT WIN a playof game that season which began a playoff win drought......WITH Cowhers AGING players.

                The drought ENDED as Tomlin drafted players became core to the team.

                If you HONESTLY want to look at Tomlin leading HIS players, here is a real “round” figure that correlates to Tomlin your point.

                Last 5 seasons. Cowhers guys were almost all gone.
                Maniac, compare that period of success (playoff or regular season) to ANY AFC coach not name Belichick.
                I’ll give you the Broncos, who won a SB......a success for one season.

                Anybody else?

                The fact is that an 8 year period has ZERO correlation to Tomlins players.

                It was chosen because it fits a narrative.
                Good morning Captain. What side of the bed did you wake up on? Lol

                You can’t destroy it. It is what it is.

                Comment

                • BURGH86STEEL
                  Legend
                  • May 2008
                  • 6921

                  #9
                  Originally posted by whatever
                  What part of 3 wins in 8 years isn't factual?
                  How about making the playoffs 8 out of 12 years. The Steelers were not in the hunt for the playoffs in only 2 of those years. That's why Tomlin is still the HC of the Steelers.

                  The people that run the organization might give Tomlin a pass considering what's transpiring this year with injuries. Even with what's transpired up to this point of the season the team had the opportunity to win every game except one. Player mistakes costs the team opportunities to win at least 2 more games.

                  I still feel good about this team's chances to make the playoffs if Mason can improve as the season progresses. Injuries may ultimately take a toll on this team's chances.

                  Comment

                  • Steel Maniac
                    Banned
                    • Apr 2017
                    • 19472

                    #10
                    Originally posted by BURGH86STEEL
                    How about making the playoffs 8 out of 12 years. The Steelers were not in the hunt for the playoffs in only 2 of those years. That's why Tomlin is still the HC of the Steelers.

                    The people that run the organization might give Tomlin a pass considering what's transpiring this year with injuries. Even with what's transpired up to this point of the season the team had the opportunity to win every game except one. Player mistakes costs the team opportunities to win at least 2 more games.

                    I still feel good about this team's chances to make the playoffs if Mason can improve as the season progresses. Injuries may ultimately take a toll on this team's chances.
                    86steel, in your opinion, will we ever win a super bowl again with Tomlin as head coach?

                    Comment

                    • Northern_Blitz
                      Legend
                      • Dec 2008
                      • 24373

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Steel Maniac
                      86steel, in your opinion, will we ever win a super bowl again with Tomlin as head coach?
                      I think the odds are better now than they were in the offseason.

                      The improvements on D make we think we can put together an elite D similar to the last few times we made / won SBs.

                      But there isn't any current coach I would bet on winning a SB in the next 5 years or so (except BB).

                      I'd imagine the odds of any specific coach winning that time aren't above 50%, so I'd say it's unlikely.

                      But the question your asking frames the problem in the wrong way.

                      Instead, we should frame the problem in the way the team should approach the decision.

                      Does replacing coach X with coach Y increase or decrease the teams chances of winning?

                      Then you replace the coach if you think it gives your team a higher expected value of success.

                      Even data in your cherry picked time frame shows that Tomlin does better than the vast majority of coaches

                      Captain shows you here that the logic you used to select your time frame doest give you that time frame.

                      You can admit you were wrong, or double down even though we now know you were mistaken.

                      Don't be the KFC of internet posters
                      Last edited by Northern_Blitz; 10-16-2019, 04:35 PM.

                      Comment

                      • Steel Maniac
                        Banned
                        • Apr 2017
                        • 19472

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Northern_Blitz
                        I think the odds are better now than they were in the offseason.

                        The improvements on D make we think we can put together an elite D similar to the last few times we made / won SBs.

                        But there isn't any current coach I would bet on winning a SB in the next 5 years or so (except BB).

                        I'd imagine the odds of any specific coach winning that time aren't above 50%, so I'd say it's unlikely.

                        But the question your asking frames the problem in the wrong way.

                        Instead, we should frame the problem in the way the team should approach the decision.

                        Does replacing coach X with coach Y increase or decrease the teams chances of winning?

                        Then you replace the coach if you think it gives your team a higher expected value of success.

                        Even data in your cherry picked time frame shows that Tomlin does better than the vast majority of coaches

                        Captain shows you here that the logic you used to select your time frame doest give you that time frame.

                        You can admit you were wrong, or double down even though we now know you were mistaken.

                        Don't be the KFC of internet posters
                        North, I’m not trying to be disrespectful but I just do t read your comments on Tomlin anymore. You and I have chopped it up several times and it’s like beating a dead horse at this point. Believe what you wish about Tomlin. But the fact remains we will never win another super with him as head coach.

                        Comment

                        • Mr.wizard
                          Legend
                          • May 2014
                          • 6686

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Steel Maniac
                          86steel, in your opinion, will we ever win a super bowl again with Tomlin as head coach?
                          What makes you think replacing the coach increases your chances of winning the Superbowl? You're talking about hiring a guy who on coaching alone is going to get you by Tom Brady and the Pats and Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs?

                          Comment

                          • SS Laser
                            Pro Bowler
                            • Apr 2009
                            • 1929

                            #14
                            The thing that I see is with or without Tomlin in the Big Ben era there might not be another Super Bowl.
                            It looks better today with the way the defense has played so far.

                            Comment

                            • Mr.wizard
                              Legend
                              • May 2014
                              • 6686

                              #15
                              Originally posted by Steel Maniac
                              North, I’m not trying to be disrespectful but I just do t read your comments on Tomlin anymore. You and I have chopped it up several times and it’s like beating a dead horse at this point. Believe what you wish about Tomlin. But the fact remains we will never win another super with him as head coach.
                              You need to learn the definition of the word "fact". It is not a fact we wont win another Superbowl under Tomlin, thats just some nonsense you keep repeating.

                              Comment

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