Steelers in the playoffs: I'm not only drinking the Kool-Aid, I'm selling it

[SteelAbility]

Three of four final games at home. Playing MIA today on 10 days rest. A win and they have the tie-break over MIA Only one tough opponent, CIN. BAL has three games remaining against playoff teams, two of those on the road with CIN probably alive for a 2 or 3 seed going into the final game. By the time PIT gets to the GB game, GB could very well be mathematically eliminated. PIT holds the tiebreak over all remaining 5-win teams, except TEN who has DEN on the road this week and hosts a good AZ team in the hunt for a playoff spot next week.

Consider this. If the PIT wins out and BAL loses even ONE GAME, Steelers would hold the tie-break over Baltimore (common games if BAL beats CIN, division record if BAL loses to CIN) for the inter-division tie-break. Steelers would then hold the tie-break over NYJ (head to head), MIA (head to head) and SD (conference record). Then they would just need Tennessee to drop one and they are in!!!!!!!!

Here's the link from nfl.com for playoff tie-breakers
[URL]http://www.nfl.com/standings/tiebreakingprocedures[/URL]

Right now PIT is 2-2 in the division and BAL is 3-2. If PIT wins out, they go to 4-2. The best BAL can do is 4-2. Then PIT and BAL would be tied head-to-head and have the same division record, bringing on the next tie-break (common games).

Here are the common games between PIT and BAL outside of head-to-head and division:

Team PIT BAL
NE L TBD
NYJ W W
MIA TBD W
BUF W L
CHI L L
DET W TBD
MIN L TBD
GB TBD L

If the Steelers win out, they would be 5-3. If BAL drops one to NE, DET or MIN they would be 4-4.
I marked the BAL loss to BUF in bold red. That was a key loss, right there.

Who's buying? Because I'm selling!!!!

[Ernie]

Three of four final games at home. Playing MIA today on 10 days rest. A win and they have the tie-break over MIA Only one tough opponent, CIN. BAL has three games remaining against playoff teams, two of those on the road with CIN probably alive for a 2 or 3 seed going into the final game. By the time PIT gets to the GB game, GB could very well be mathematically eliminated. PIT holds the tiebreak over all remaining 5-win teams, except TEN who has DEN on the road this week and hosts a good AZ team in the hunt for a playoff spot next week.

Consider this. If the PIT wins out and BAL loses even ONE GAME, Steelers would hold the tie-break over Baltimore (common games if BAL beats CIN, division record if BAL loses to CIN) for the inter-division tie-break. Steelers would then hold the tie-break over NYJ (head to head), MIA (head to head) and SD (conference record). Then they would just need Tennessee to drop one and they are in!!!!!!!!

Here's the link from nfl.com for playoff tie-breakers
[URL]http://www.nfl.com/standings/tiebreakingprocedures[/URL]

Right now PIT is 2-2 in the division and BAL is 3-2. If PIT wins out, they go to 4-2. The best BAL can do is 4-2. Then PIT and BAL would be tied head-to-head and have the same division record, bringing on the next tie-break (common games).

Here are the common games between PIT and BAL outside of head-to-head and division:

Team PIT BAL
NE L TBD
NYJ W W
MIA TBD W
BUF W L
CHI L L
DET W TBD
MIN L TBD
GB TBD L

If the Steelers win out, they would be 5-3. If BAL drops one to NE, DET or MIN they would be 4-4.
I marked the BAL loss to BUF in bold red. That was a key loss, right there.

Who's buying? Because I'm selling!!!!

With a healthy O line I would be buying. No way to get healthy between now and the playoffs though. Even if we make it, it's going to be short lived. Not trying to be negative, just trying to keep it real.

[SteelAbility]

So you are somewhat hedging! Understood. One thing I have learned about the Steeler organization. They have ways of plugging holes. As long its not with "Mr. Non-Existent," Mike Adams, I believe there is hope.

[Ernie]

Oh I will be rooting the black and gold on regardless... lol

and Mr. Non Existent is starting at Left Tackle today

[SteelAbility]

Oh I will be rooting the black and gold on regardless... lol

and Mr. Non Existent is starting at Left Tackle today

Right after I posted "Mr. Non-Existent" I realized "The Hologram" was lot more elegant and appropriate. It's like playing 10 on 11. Worse, because as a QB you believe he's there when he's really not, but the defender knows he's not.

[Ernie]

Right after I posted "Mr. Non-Existent" I realized "The Hologram" was lot more elegant and appropriate. It's like playing 10 on 11. Worse, because as a QB you believe he's there when he's really not, but the defender knows he's not.

That would fit him nicely... at least the game he started v Minnesota

[NorthCoast]

Right after I posted "Mr. Non-Existent" I realized "The Hologram" was lot more elegant and appropriate. It's like playing 10 on 11. Worse, because as a QB you believe he's there when he's really not, but the defender knows he's not.

So remind me again why the Steelers and many board members thought this slug was worth a draft pick?.... based on performance so far, he should have been undrafted. There were warning signs all over during his time in college and someone in the Steelers org chose to ignore. Another pick they will be paying for for years.

[feltdizz]

Adams had to be jet lagged in the UK game. Dude is bad.. he looked drugged up andwas sleep walking in that game. I wonder if he ate a cookie in Amsterdam or something.

[Ghost]

So far this a lot less than inspired play. A QB who's never played in snow is moving the ball at will for the most part. Offense is slugglish. A 6-6 team is almost too much to handle.

I doubt they win out and they would be embarrassed by the good teams in the NFL.

[Jooser]

you just went broke...

[Ghost]

The team was an embarrassment today, at home, season on the line against a mediocre team with a QB who is barely average. Allowed the most points the Dolphins have scored all season. Disgusting display of football.

[SteelAbility]

Well, I drank too much Kool-Aid. Now I'm on a sugar low.

[SteelAbility]

you just went broke...

Wait a minute. Hold everything! I'm still drinking the Kool-Aid. Here is what PIT needs now ...

1. Win out AND ...
2. BAL drops 2 out of 3 (@DET, NE, @CIN) not too unreasonable given the SoS AND ...
3. SD drops 1 (@DEN, OAK, KC) ... VERY reasonable given the SoS AND ...
4. TEN drops 1 (AZ, @JAX, HOU) ... AZ is good and JAX is much improved ... AND ...

EITHER
5. MIA drops 3 and NYJ drop 1 OR
6. MIA drops 2 (one being to the NYJ) and the NYJ win 2 (then NYJ beat MIA on inter-division tie-break, but lose to PIT on cross-division tie-break)

Here are MIA's and NYJ's remaining games ...

MIA
NE
@BUF
NYJ

NYJ
@CAR
CLE
@MIA

[SteelAbility]

Basically, if MIA wins their last game against the NYJ, the Steelers are out. So what we want in the next couple of weeks is MIA to go either 0-2 or 1-1 and the NYJ to go 1-1. However, MIA going 0-2 is preferred because then the NYJ could also go 0-2 and keep the Steelers alive.

So its not 5 OR 6 its ...

5. (given above) OR
6. (given above) OR
7. NYJ go 1-2 and MIA goes 0-3