What the Pittsburgh Steelers Have to Do to Beat the New England Patriots
By Thomas Hanlon on October 24, 2011
This week, the Pittsburgh Steelers play the team that seems to have their number, the New England Patriots.
More often than not, the Patriots come out on top in these contests. The Patriots have beaten the Steelers twice in AFC championship games in Pittsburgh. We've only beaten Tom Brady once, in 2004 to end a record winning streak the Patriots were on at the time. In 2008, the Steelers went to Foxborough, Mass. and stomped a Patriots team that was being lead by Matt Cassel since Brady was out with a season-ending knee injury.
Last season, the Patriots came in and absolutely killed the Steelers, 39-26, and the score is much closer than the game actually was. The Steelers scored 23 points in the fourth quarter, but the Patriots also added 16 points to the 23 they already had through the first three quarters. You can really say that the Steelers scored their fourth-quarter points in garbage time.
Now the Patriots come back to the Steel City, and the Steelers are hoping for a different outcome.
Here is what needs to happen for the Steelers to walk off the field victorious over their kryptonite, the New England Patriots.

First and Foremost, Get to Tom Brady
When the Patriots lose games, it's often because teams get to Tom Brady. When he's getting sacked, hit and pressured....that's when he makes mistakes. When his jersey is clean and he's got days in the pocket to find an open receiver, that's when he picks you apart.
Look at his lone playoff game against the Jets. In that game, they were constantly in his face. He started to get happy feet and his throws were off.
I know they say don't blitz Brady because he'll pick you apart, but I don't think that's true. You have to force him to throw it before he wants to, otherwise before you know it, you'll be down by a couple of scores.

Steelers Offense Has to Score
Last year, the Steelers offense struggled for most of the game. They scored all of three points over the first three quarters. If the Pittsburgh Steelers plan on winning this game on Sunday, they have to score early and score often.
Tom Brady and the Patriots offense are going to score points. But the Steelers offense needs to be able to hang with them.
The New England Patriots defense is one of the worst in the league right now, though cornerback Kyle Arrington is second in the league with four interceptions. The Patriots rank last in total defense, last in pass defense and eighth in run defense.
Before the season, everyone thought the Patriots were going to have a big season on defense, with Vince Wilfork and Albert Haynesworth in the middle of the defensive line wreaking havoc in the backfield. But Haynesworth has turned out to be a huge bust, so far only recording two tackles this season. Wilfork hasn't been wreaking havoc, but he has 12 tackles and two interceptions on the season.
The Steelers might have some trouble running on the Patriots, but the passing offense should be able to have a big day.

Be Weary of Wes Welker & the Tight Ends
In the crazy offseason, the Patriots made a trade with the Bengals to get wide receiver Chad Ochocinco. People were going nuts, envisioning a lineup of Deion Branch and Chad Ochocinco on the outside with Wes Welker being the monster mismatch in the slot.
However, it hasn't worked out like that. Ochocinco isn't in any type of rhythm with Tom Brady. He has only 136 yards on the season (that's less than 25 a game) on nine catches with no touchdowns.
Branch hasn't been more than what people thought he would be, a possession receiver who will make catches when the ball's thrown his way. On his 26 catches, he has 369 yards (average of 61.5/game) and two touchdowns.
And then you have Brady's favorite target, Wes Welker. He has 785 yards on the season, an average of 130.8 per game with six touchdowns. That includes tying an NFL record with a 99-yard TD reception in the season opener against the Miami Dolphins.
The other big passing weapons Brady uses are his tight ends.
Rob Gronkowski has 401 yards on the season with five touchdowns. Aaron Hernandez, who has played in only four games this season, has 289 yards (72.2 yards/game) and three touchdowns.
The Steelers currently have the best pass defense in the NFL. But here comes the biggest test of the season. If we can hold the Patriots offense in check, especially the tight ends, then we should be victorious on Sunday.

Run the Football When We Have a Lead
If and when the Steelers get a lead, especially if we get up by two touchdowns or more, we have to take the air out of the ball some.
I don't mean take the foot completely off the throttle, but the best defense against the Patriots is the ability to sustain long drives and keep the ball out of Tom Brady's hands. And to do that, you have to run the football.
The Steelers run game has been hot and cold. Rashard Mendenhall has had just one 100-yard game, against the lowly Jacksonville Jaguars. While the Patriots' defense is dead last in yards allowed, it is eighth against the run.
I don't see one of our backs having a 100-yard game, but I think they can do the job to chew up some clock and keep the Patriots defense on the field.

Stop the Patriot Running Game
The Patriots surprisingly rank 10th overall in the NFL running the football. Yes, their offense is focused on the passing game with defending league MVP Tom Brady at quarterback, but they can run the ball effectively when they need to.
As a team, the Pats average 27.2 rushing attempts a game. They have a total of 744 yards (124 yards per game) and average 4.6 yards a rush. They also have six rushing touchdowns on the season.
BenJarvus Green-Ellis is their starting back, and while he's only averaging 65.2 yards per game, he has five of their six rushing touchdowns on the season. Stevan Ridley is averaging just 30 yards per game with one touchdown.
The Steelers historically have always been strong against the run, but this season they haven't been that great in that department, ranking 11th in the league with an average of 107.1 yards a game. They have also allowed five rushing touchdowns on the season.
I think the Steelers can keep the Patriots running game from being a factor in this game. They don't have a single back that's outstanding like an Arian Foster. However, if the Steelers don't keep their gap integrity on Sunday, Green-Ellis does have the skills to make us look silly at times.

Let Troy Polamalu Be Himself
In the past against the Patriots, the Steelers have had Polamalu playing more passive. His style is aggressive and flying all around the field.
While he hasn't been making a lot of amazing plays that just make Steeler Nation say "wow" this season, and he did drop an interception that hit him right in the hands against Arizona, he's still the guy that makes this defense what it has been over the course of his career.
Now, against Arizona he was more of a "center fielder," and I think that's because he was coming off of a concussion.
We need to have Polamalu flying all over the field on Sunday afternoon hitting the daylights out of people, putting himself in position to make turnovers and generally making Tom Brady's life a living hell.
Using him in a passive scheme obviously hasn't worked, so I say let him loose and see what happens. The result can't be any worse than the last time we played New England.

The Prediction
The Steelers are going to walk off the field victorious on Sunday.
Big Ben is going to throw at least three touchdowns with no interceptions. I see another 100-yard game for Mike Wallace. Our running backs are going to combine for around 100 yards and at least a touchdown. The Steelers will also own time of possession.
On defense, the Steelers will be successful in pressuring Tom Brady and making him uncomfortable. Wes Welker will have a good game, but the tight ends will be shut down for the most part. Chad Ochcocinco will be held without a catch. And Brady will throw at least one interception.
Steelers 35, Patriots 24
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By Thomas Hanlon on October 24, 2011
This week, the Pittsburgh Steelers play the team that seems to have their number, the New England Patriots.
More often than not, the Patriots come out on top in these contests. The Patriots have beaten the Steelers twice in AFC championship games in Pittsburgh. We've only beaten Tom Brady once, in 2004 to end a record winning streak the Patriots were on at the time. In 2008, the Steelers went to Foxborough, Mass. and stomped a Patriots team that was being lead by Matt Cassel since Brady was out with a season-ending knee injury.
Last season, the Patriots came in and absolutely killed the Steelers, 39-26, and the score is much closer than the game actually was. The Steelers scored 23 points in the fourth quarter, but the Patriots also added 16 points to the 23 they already had through the first three quarters. You can really say that the Steelers scored their fourth-quarter points in garbage time.
Now the Patriots come back to the Steel City, and the Steelers are hoping for a different outcome.
Here is what needs to happen for the Steelers to walk off the field victorious over their kryptonite, the New England Patriots.

First and Foremost, Get to Tom Brady
When the Patriots lose games, it's often because teams get to Tom Brady. When he's getting sacked, hit and pressured....that's when he makes mistakes. When his jersey is clean and he's got days in the pocket to find an open receiver, that's when he picks you apart.
Look at his lone playoff game against the Jets. In that game, they were constantly in his face. He started to get happy feet and his throws were off.
I know they say don't blitz Brady because he'll pick you apart, but I don't think that's true. You have to force him to throw it before he wants to, otherwise before you know it, you'll be down by a couple of scores.

Steelers Offense Has to Score
Last year, the Steelers offense struggled for most of the game. They scored all of three points over the first three quarters. If the Pittsburgh Steelers plan on winning this game on Sunday, they have to score early and score often.
Tom Brady and the Patriots offense are going to score points. But the Steelers offense needs to be able to hang with them.
The New England Patriots defense is one of the worst in the league right now, though cornerback Kyle Arrington is second in the league with four interceptions. The Patriots rank last in total defense, last in pass defense and eighth in run defense.
Before the season, everyone thought the Patriots were going to have a big season on defense, with Vince Wilfork and Albert Haynesworth in the middle of the defensive line wreaking havoc in the backfield. But Haynesworth has turned out to be a huge bust, so far only recording two tackles this season. Wilfork hasn't been wreaking havoc, but he has 12 tackles and two interceptions on the season.
The Steelers might have some trouble running on the Patriots, but the passing offense should be able to have a big day.

Be Weary of Wes Welker & the Tight Ends
In the crazy offseason, the Patriots made a trade with the Bengals to get wide receiver Chad Ochocinco. People were going nuts, envisioning a lineup of Deion Branch and Chad Ochocinco on the outside with Wes Welker being the monster mismatch in the slot.
However, it hasn't worked out like that. Ochocinco isn't in any type of rhythm with Tom Brady. He has only 136 yards on the season (that's less than 25 a game) on nine catches with no touchdowns.
Branch hasn't been more than what people thought he would be, a possession receiver who will make catches when the ball's thrown his way. On his 26 catches, he has 369 yards (average of 61.5/game) and two touchdowns.
And then you have Brady's favorite target, Wes Welker. He has 785 yards on the season, an average of 130.8 per game with six touchdowns. That includes tying an NFL record with a 99-yard TD reception in the season opener against the Miami Dolphins.
The other big passing weapons Brady uses are his tight ends.
Rob Gronkowski has 401 yards on the season with five touchdowns. Aaron Hernandez, who has played in only four games this season, has 289 yards (72.2 yards/game) and three touchdowns.
The Steelers currently have the best pass defense in the NFL. But here comes the biggest test of the season. If we can hold the Patriots offense in check, especially the tight ends, then we should be victorious on Sunday.

Run the Football When We Have a Lead
If and when the Steelers get a lead, especially if we get up by two touchdowns or more, we have to take the air out of the ball some.
I don't mean take the foot completely off the throttle, but the best defense against the Patriots is the ability to sustain long drives and keep the ball out of Tom Brady's hands. And to do that, you have to run the football.
The Steelers run game has been hot and cold. Rashard Mendenhall has had just one 100-yard game, against the lowly Jacksonville Jaguars. While the Patriots' defense is dead last in yards allowed, it is eighth against the run.
I don't see one of our backs having a 100-yard game, but I think they can do the job to chew up some clock and keep the Patriots defense on the field.

Stop the Patriot Running Game
The Patriots surprisingly rank 10th overall in the NFL running the football. Yes, their offense is focused on the passing game with defending league MVP Tom Brady at quarterback, but they can run the ball effectively when they need to.
As a team, the Pats average 27.2 rushing attempts a game. They have a total of 744 yards (124 yards per game) and average 4.6 yards a rush. They also have six rushing touchdowns on the season.
BenJarvus Green-Ellis is their starting back, and while he's only averaging 65.2 yards per game, he has five of their six rushing touchdowns on the season. Stevan Ridley is averaging just 30 yards per game with one touchdown.
The Steelers historically have always been strong against the run, but this season they haven't been that great in that department, ranking 11th in the league with an average of 107.1 yards a game. They have also allowed five rushing touchdowns on the season.
I think the Steelers can keep the Patriots running game from being a factor in this game. They don't have a single back that's outstanding like an Arian Foster. However, if the Steelers don't keep their gap integrity on Sunday, Green-Ellis does have the skills to make us look silly at times.

Let Troy Polamalu Be Himself
In the past against the Patriots, the Steelers have had Polamalu playing more passive. His style is aggressive and flying all around the field.
While he hasn't been making a lot of amazing plays that just make Steeler Nation say "wow" this season, and he did drop an interception that hit him right in the hands against Arizona, he's still the guy that makes this defense what it has been over the course of his career.
Now, against Arizona he was more of a "center fielder," and I think that's because he was coming off of a concussion.
We need to have Polamalu flying all over the field on Sunday afternoon hitting the daylights out of people, putting himself in position to make turnovers and generally making Tom Brady's life a living hell.
Using him in a passive scheme obviously hasn't worked, so I say let him loose and see what happens. The result can't be any worse than the last time we played New England.

The Prediction
The Steelers are going to walk off the field victorious on Sunday.
Big Ben is going to throw at least three touchdowns with no interceptions. I see another 100-yard game for Mike Wallace. Our running backs are going to combine for around 100 yards and at least a touchdown. The Steelers will also own time of possession.
On defense, the Steelers will be successful in pressuring Tom Brady and making him uncomfortable. Wes Welker will have a good game, but the tight ends will be shut down for the most part. Chad Ochcocinco will be held without a catch. And Brady will throw at least one interception.
Steelers 35, Patriots 24
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