The team with the better defense has won each of the divisional games this weekend. Beyond that, a look at the top defenses in points and yards allowed shows a pretty significant correlation with who's left standing:
Scoring Defense
1 Pittsburgh Steelers 14.5
2 Green Bay Packers 15.0
3 Baltimore Ravens 16.9
4 Chicago Bears 17.9
5 Atlanta Falcons 18.0
6 New York Jets 19.0
7 New Orleans Saints 19.2
8 New England Patriots 19.6
Defense Yards Allowed
1 San Diego Chargers 271.6
2 Pittsburgh Steelers 276.8
3 New York Jets 291.5
4 New Orleans Saints 306.2
5 Green Bay Packers 309.1
6 Miami Dolphins 309.3
7 New York Giants 310.8
8 Minnesota Vikings 312.6
9 Chicago Bears 314
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25 New England Patriots 366.5
By this metric, the Jets will hold on with their defense and this lead. If it plays out, we're playing Green Bay in the Super Bowl.
Scoring Defense
1 Pittsburgh Steelers 14.5
2 Green Bay Packers 15.0
3 Baltimore Ravens 16.9
4 Chicago Bears 17.9
5 Atlanta Falcons 18.0
6 New York Jets 19.0
7 New Orleans Saints 19.2
8 New England Patriots 19.6
Defense Yards Allowed
1 San Diego Chargers 271.6
2 Pittsburgh Steelers 276.8
3 New York Jets 291.5
4 New Orleans Saints 306.2
5 Green Bay Packers 309.1
6 Miami Dolphins 309.3
7 New York Giants 310.8
8 Minnesota Vikings 312.6
9 Chicago Bears 314
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25 New England Patriots 366.5
By this metric, the Jets will hold on with their defense and this lead. If it plays out, we're playing Green Bay in the Super Bowl.

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