HOF QBs Last Seasons

[NorthCoast]

Here's a summary of a few HOF QBs last seasons along with averages and Rodgers' 2024 stats. Some things pop out if Rodgers ends up with an 'average' HOF last season:

• He will miss 3 or 4 games (only ironman Brady played every game in his last season)
• He will attempt at least 450+ passes, completing 64% for just over 3,000 yds
• He will end up with far fewer TDs but the same number of INTs as in 2024

Also, Rodgers' 2024 season was a real mixed bag compared to the average final seasons by HOF'rs. Example, he took a lot of sacks. That does not bode well with this OL. However, his adjusted Y/A passing(factoring in sacks) is slightly better than the average QB.

I understand it is a stretch comparing averages across widely different teams and QBs. Still an interesting topic to mull.
Brees in particular was on fire in his last season. Manning was a shell of his HOF self. It was obvious to all who watched that his arm was gone.

(note; any of the average stats that are based on # of games played (e.g. pass attempts) has been normalized to 17 games and by % of games played )

EDIT: Rodgers only needed to complete 7 more pass attempts last season to match the average HOF'r.

[url=https://flic.kr/p/2r9vpwg][/url][url=https://flic.kr/p/2r9vpwg]Screenshot 2025-06-08 075510[/url] by [url=https://www.flickr.com/photos/191750946@N04/]R W[/url], on Flickr

[Northern_Blitz]

A thing that surprised me that I heard on Scouts Eye earlier this summer: Our OL provided one of the longer times to throw to QBs last season. But we also had QBs who loved to hold the ball and historically took a lot of sacks.

If the first part was truly because of the OL, then Rodgers has a chance to be average to maybe even above-average (league wide, not AFC wide I think).

Fingers crossed. But I still think that this mostly gives us a better chance to make the playoffs. And that we'll still need lightning to strike to win a WC game (likely on the road against an elite QB...almost certainly one of Mahomes / Allen / Lamar / Burrow).

Ideally we can win enough ugly games in the division to eek out a division win. Then we'll probably get Lamar or Burrow and home instead of on the road. Probably still a loss. Because even if we win the division, we'll probably be the 4th (at best 3rd) seed. So we'll play one of the two best WC teams. And if we win the division and the other AFCN teams stay healthy, I'd bet those have a very good chance of being at least one of BAL or CIN.

[NorthCoast]

Took a look at Rodgers' last two full seasons of stats (last GB & last NYJ). They were remarkably similar. As a prediction for this season, I averaged those last two seasons and show where he would have ranked in 2024 for each stat. Added Wilson's 2024 for reference to estimate where we might see an 'upgrade' at the QB position, and highlighted those stats in green.

Overall conclusion, Rodgers can't be expected to be a massive upgrade in any particular area if he has his average season the last two years. But he could be slight improvement in most stats.

(one note; it's been commented how Rodgers improved in the last month of last season so that is another positive sign)

[url=https://flic.kr/p/2r9PeiN][/url][url=https://flic.kr/p/2r9PeiN]Screenshot 2025-06-09 062508[/url] by [url=https://www.flickr.com/photos/191750946@N04/]R W[/url], on Flickr