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Instead of trading up in the first round from #18 to whatever, why not hold at #18 then package (2 rd + 3 rd + ?) and trade up AGAIN into the bottom half of the first?
Here's my thinking...
1) Colbert's strength is first round talent evaluation. He rarely misses. Meanwhile in the 2-4 rounds he's only about 50% (if that). Who cares if there's great depth in the 2-4 this year if we miss? I was very disappointed last year coming out of the first three rounds with Hood, Urbik, Wallace, and Lewis. (Wallace is solid but we could've done a lot better with the others had we traded up for two 1st rounders.)
2) We currently are experiencing a phenomenon known as the "Super Bowl Window". They don't come along very often. We need immediate contributers. Imagine Thomas and Wilson. Or Wilson and Odrick. Or Williams and Pouncey. Or Iupati and Pouncey. That's where the real value is for us right now.
3) I don't see very many roster spots open. We kept so many young players last year (draft picks+UDFA) plus adding FA depth this off-season I just don't see the openings. We don't need more mid level depth/back-ups. We need starters (potential pro-bowlers).
4) With the structure of the draft this year, after Thursday has concluded teams have 16 hours to salivate over the 'gems' that slipped out of the first round. That will likely generate added demand. I'm anticipating a trade up in the 2nd round to cost a lot more than it has in previous years because teams will get a little twitterpated and overpay. Given the added time they will restructure their draft boards somewhat saying "We never thought this guy would fall. If we can grab him that will make our whole draft." Or even "We missed out on prospect A. Now we HAVE to get prospect B." Whereas a trade up into the 1st round should slip by with more normal values. (Does that make sense?)
5) We still have late round picks and UDFA to stock away developmental prospects.
Thoughts?
Here's my thinking...
1) Colbert's strength is first round talent evaluation. He rarely misses. Meanwhile in the 2-4 rounds he's only about 50% (if that). Who cares if there's great depth in the 2-4 this year if we miss? I was very disappointed last year coming out of the first three rounds with Hood, Urbik, Wallace, and Lewis. (Wallace is solid but we could've done a lot better with the others had we traded up for two 1st rounders.)
2) We currently are experiencing a phenomenon known as the "Super Bowl Window". They don't come along very often. We need immediate contributers. Imagine Thomas and Wilson. Or Wilson and Odrick. Or Williams and Pouncey. Or Iupati and Pouncey. That's where the real value is for us right now.
3) I don't see very many roster spots open. We kept so many young players last year (draft picks+UDFA) plus adding FA depth this off-season I just don't see the openings. We don't need more mid level depth/back-ups. We need starters (potential pro-bowlers).
4) With the structure of the draft this year, after Thursday has concluded teams have 16 hours to salivate over the 'gems' that slipped out of the first round. That will likely generate added demand. I'm anticipating a trade up in the 2nd round to cost a lot more than it has in previous years because teams will get a little twitterpated and overpay. Given the added time they will restructure their draft boards somewhat saying "We never thought this guy would fall. If we can grab him that will make our whole draft." Or even "We missed out on prospect A. Now we HAVE to get prospect B." Whereas a trade up into the 1st round should slip by with more normal values. (Does that make sense?)
5) We still have late round picks and UDFA to stock away developmental prospects.
Thoughts?
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