Forget the fact we have a bottom ten QB starting the NFL, we have a bottom eight starting running back. Don't believe me?
Exhibit A.
Harris is averaging the worst of the top 30 backs in YPC at 3.3 yard per carry. The worst. When heatly Patterson is avageing 5.8 yards per carry. Warren who has been hurt is averaging 3.9 a carry.
Shampkin and Ward, two men who are playing due to injury are also averaging more, though to be fair, their sample size is very small. All of these players use the same OL. Clearly Warren and Patterson are both better pass catchers, and have higher career averages per catch.
Exhibit B
Harris has tough runs. Don't they all? He is at the very bottom of % of Rushes that lead to first down. 17.1% Every decent starter is in the mid 20's and the best are above 30.
Exhibit C. He does not hit many big plays, defined as plays that exceed 10 yards in the rushing or cathing depatmtent. His long for the year is 21 yards. Big plays lead to scores.
Exhibit D. His next Touchdown score will be his first for the year. He rates last here again among the starting backs.
But forget the stats for a moment. He is darn limited in his " rushing tree " He runs outside very poorly. He lacks the acceleration to be an average draw runner as well. He's not a counter play type of runner and loses yardage often on cutback runs. There are 8 rushing holes. I will illustrate.
Roughly 85% of Harris runs are through the 1-4 holes. He does not run well though the 5,6,7,8 Nor does he hit these holes often The running playbook is virtually cut in half.
As such the opposing defense and coaching can position their men accordingly. As I said his acceleration to the hole and his vision are below the average standard of the starting backs. And his long speed sucks.
Now for the good. He is healthy and the owner of 10 1/4 inch hands, meaning he seldom fumbles.
After this season we need to spend a 2nd or 3rd round pick on a back, with round one being a QB. Until that time Warren and Patterson need to get healthy.
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