Is Harris a bottom 8 starting running back? I think he is.

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  • Joel Buchsbaum
    Legend
    • Jan 2021
    • 7049

    Is Harris a bottom 8 starting running back? I think he is.


    Forget the fact we have a bottom ten QB starting the NFL, we have a bottom eight starting running back. Don't believe me?


    Exhibit A.

    Harris is averaging the worst of the top 30 backs in YPC at 3.3 yard per carry. The worst. When heatly Patterson is avageing 5.8 yards per carry. Warren who has been hurt is averaging 3.9 a carry.

    Shampkin and Ward, two men who are playing due to injury are also averaging more, though to be fair, their sample size is very small. All of these players use the same OL. Clearly Warren and Patterson are both better pass catchers, and have higher career averages per catch.

    Exhibit B

    Harris has tough runs. Don't they all? He is at the very bottom of % of Rushes that lead to first down. 17.1% Every decent starter is in the mid 20's and the best are above 30.

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    Exhibit C. He does not hit many big plays, defined as plays that exceed 10 yards in the rushing or cathing depatmtent. His long for the year is 21 yards. Big plays lead to scores.


    Exhibit D. His next Touchdown score will be his first for the year. He rates last here again among the starting backs.


    But forget the stats for a moment. He is darn limited in his " rushing tree " He runs outside very poorly. He lacks the acceleration to be an average draw runner as well. He's not a counter play type of runner and loses yardage often on cutback runs. There are 8 rushing holes. I will illustrate.


    Offensive Hole Designations This drill introduces the basic hole designations used in offensive play calling. POINTS OF EMPHASIS For simplicity coaches are encouraged to start with the basic straight T offensive formation shown below. As time and the players' experience progresses variations may be





    Roughly 85% of Harris runs are through the 1-4 holes. He does not run well though the 5,6,7,8 Nor does he hit these holes often The running playbook is virtually cut in half.

    As such the opposing defense and coaching can position their men accordingly. As I said his acceleration to the hole and his vision are below the average standard of the starting backs. And his long speed sucks.





    Now for the good. He is healthy and the owner of 10 1/4 inch hands, meaning he seldom fumbles.



    After this season we need to spend a 2nd or 3rd round pick on a back, with round one being a QB. Until that time Warren and Patterson need to get healthy.




    Tomlin hasn't won a playoff game in seven years and counting. The earliest will be eight years. I guess that in Art Rooney's II, opinion is worth a 3 year extension.

    Our 2024 draft looks to be grade A. Our 2023 draft is an A. The roster is talented, but Mike Tomlin is still the head coach.

    *** Mike Tomlin is the best coach since the AFL- NFL merger that has not won a playoff game in 8 seasons or more. It's either him or Lewis. ***
  • Northern_Blitz
    Legend
    • Dec 2008
    • 22744

    #2
    I think that he's certainly not among the better starters at RB.

    My guess is that swapping starters with most other teams wouldn't make our running game any worse at this point.

    But to be fair, Najee always looks pretty bad at the beginning of the season and finishes strong.

    Hopefully that trend continues.

    Comment

    • Chucktownsteeler
      Legend
      • May 2008
      • 6633

      #3
      No one on the offense is really excelling this year.
      Help me find my post proving I am a Yinzer!

      Comment

      • Joel Buchsbaum
        Legend
        • Jan 2021
        • 7049

        #4
        Originally posted by Chucktownsteeler
        No one on the offense is really excelling this year.

        Not so. Boswell is excelling. Frazier and Smith are doing pretty well. Pickens is doing well.


        Point of the thread is this: Najee Harris is a bottom 8 starting back. I said why with data and observation. Note the slots he seldom runs through ( 5, 6 , 7, and 8 )


        With a QB switch and limitng Harris snaps, I am hopeful we can get better. Both are Tomlin decisions.
        Tomlin hasn't won a playoff game in seven years and counting. The earliest will be eight years. I guess that in Art Rooney's II, opinion is worth a 3 year extension.

        Our 2024 draft looks to be grade A. Our 2023 draft is an A. The roster is talented, but Mike Tomlin is still the head coach.

        *** Mike Tomlin is the best coach since the AFL- NFL merger that has not won a playoff game in 8 seasons or more. It's either him or Lewis. ***

        Comment

        • Chucktownsteeler
          Legend
          • May 2008
          • 6633

          #5
          Originally posted by Joel Buchsbaum


          Not so. Boswell is excelling. Frazier and Smith are doing pretty well. Pickens is doing well.


          Point of the thread is this: Najee Harris is a bottom 8 starting back. I said why with data and observation. Note the slots he seldom runs through ( 5, 6 , 7, and 8 )


          With a QB switch and limitng Harris snaps, I am hopeful we can get better. Both are Tomlin decisions.
          Boswell is on ST, not offense. Frazier started good but has regressed, thanks Meyers. I am trying to think who Smith is.
          Help me find my post proving I am a Yinzer!

          Comment

          • Joel Buchsbaum
            Legend
            • Jan 2021
            • 7049

            #6
            The offense score points. Boswell is a big part of the offense, and yes he kicks for defense on speciall teams. But that is neither here nor there. What do you think of my take on Harris being a bottom 8 NFL strating back?

            As I have said before and other threads here, all of our backs run behind the same line. Harris has the least YPC.
            Tomlin hasn't won a playoff game in seven years and counting. The earliest will be eight years. I guess that in Art Rooney's II, opinion is worth a 3 year extension.

            Our 2024 draft looks to be grade A. Our 2023 draft is an A. The roster is talented, but Mike Tomlin is still the head coach.

            *** Mike Tomlin is the best coach since the AFL- NFL merger that has not won a playoff game in 8 seasons or more. It's either him or Lewis. ***

            Comment

            • Northern_Blitz
              Legend
              • Dec 2008
              • 22744

              #7
              Originally posted by Chucktownsteeler

              Boswell is on ST, not offense. Frazier started good but has regressed, thanks Meyers. I am trying to think who Smith is.
              I don't think you can "regress" in 5 games. That sounds more like (1) uncertainty in a small sample and (2) teams having tape of you in the NFL.

              Comment

              • Chucktownsteeler
                Legend
                • May 2008
                • 6633

                #8
                Originally posted by Joel Buchsbaum
                The offense score points. Boswell is a big part of the offense, and yes he kicks for defense on speciall teams. But that is neither here nor there. What do you think of my take on Harris being a bottom 8 NFL strating back?

                As I have said before and other threads here, all of our backs run behind the same line. Harris has the least YPC.
                I think at season's end Najee needs to go. For whatever reason he needs a change of venue. You can hash it out 100 different ways but he's not getting the job done.
                Help me find my post proving I am a Yinzer!

                Comment

                • feltdizz
                  Legend
                  • May 2008
                  • 26500

                  #9
                  Pickens is doing well? What? Dude is being rumored as trade bait due to his attitude.

                  Now, I do think we aren't using Pickens to the best of his abilities and anytime we start losing we look for a scapegoat but Pickens has ZERO TD's this year. He is not playing well at the moment.
                  Stains 29
                  Steelers 37

                  Comment

                  • Joel Buchsbaum
                    Legend
                    • Jan 2021
                    • 7049

                    #10
                    Originally posted by feltdizz
                    Pickens is doing well? What? Dude is being rumored as trade bait due to his attitude.

                    Now, I do think we aren't using Pickens to the best of his abilities and anytime we start losing we look for a scapegoat but Pickens has ZERO TD's this year. He is not playing well at the moment.

                    Pickens did not play the second half. It was a coaching decision. He is handicapped by the QB situation.

                    But this thread is about NAJEE HARRIS. What do you think? Is he a bottom 8 NFL starting running back?
                    Tomlin hasn't won a playoff game in seven years and counting. The earliest will be eight years. I guess that in Art Rooney's II, opinion is worth a 3 year extension.

                    Our 2024 draft looks to be grade A. Our 2023 draft is an A. The roster is talented, but Mike Tomlin is still the head coach.

                    *** Mike Tomlin is the best coach since the AFL- NFL merger that has not won a playoff game in 8 seasons or more. It's either him or Lewis. ***

                    Comment

                    • feltdizz
                      Legend
                      • May 2008
                      • 26500

                      #11
                      When you block for Najee, good things happen.

                      Might be the most efficient game of his career.
                      Stains 29
                      Steelers 37

                      Comment

                      • Eich
                        Legend
                        • Jul 2010
                        • 6563

                        #12
                        That was the Harris, Watt game.

                        Comment

                        • Northern_Blitz
                          Legend
                          • Dec 2008
                          • 22744

                          #13
                          Here to eat some crow.

                          I think this might have been Najee's best running game as a pro.

                          Two 25+ yard runs on a pretty critical drive.

                          Ran hard (basically always does this).

                          I don't think I've seen him make a guy miss like he did on the 26 yard run (or whatever it was). Nice to see him have a "get skinny" moment (a la Bettis).

                          Comment

                          • hawaiiansteel
                            Legend
                            • May 2008
                            • 34316

                            #14
                            Originally posted by Joel Buchsbaum
                            this thread is about NAJEE HARRIS. What do you think? Is he a bottom 8 NFL starting running back?
                            Didn't look bottom 8 today.
                            Steel Maniac's Time-Based Prediction: Lamar Jackson will be a bust and total flop in the NFL.

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                            Comment

                            • Steelerphile
                              Pro Bowler
                              • Dec 2008
                              • 1190

                              #15
                              I had felt that Najee looked good physically and that he would have a good season. But he didn't really play great especially the last two games; so, I was beginning to think, I had misjudged. He usually takes a little while during the season to get things going but this game gives my point of view some validation. He had a 36 yard run; so that ends any thought that he was incapable of a 30 yard run.

                              I think he looks quicker. But now he has to keep it going. Warren might not have the season he had last year and Patterson was injured after a handful of carries. Najee's best quality is his durability.
                              Last edited by Steelerphile; 10-13-2024, 08:26 PM.

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