Heard on local radio this AM that the Browns have the second most early wagers in Vegas to win the SB this season....
.....but here is another take. I thought the comments on NE were pretty interesting. btw, no Steeler sighting on the list:
NFL Betting Breakdown
1. New England Patriots: +700 Super Bowl Odds
Many of the NFL’s rule changes have been friendly towards the Patriots in recent years, allowing QB Tom Brady to remain in business at age 42 – and helping New England reach four of the last five Super Bowls, winning three of them. Brady is reportedly signing a two-year contract extension that will keep him in Foxborough through 2021. There’s also a good chance he’ll have WR Josh Gordon to throw at later this year, after Gordon filed with the league office for re-instatement.
2. Kansas City Chiefs: +800 Super Bowl Odds
The Chiefs nearly cashed in their odds to win Super Bowl glory last year, but they fell to the Patriots at the AFC title game. The return of injured RG Laurent Duvernay-Tardif should help QB Patrick Mahomes put up some more MVP-quality numbers, but Kansas City’s defense still needs some work. Maybe Thursday’s signing of CB Morris Claiborne will help, although he’ll miss the first four games to a PED suspension.
3. New Orleans Saints: +850 Super Bowl Odds
The new PI rules are obviously in response to the Saints, who may have lost the NFC title game to the No. 4 team on our list because of a missed call. This could help 40-year-old QB Drew Brees get some more mileage out of his golden right arm. However, he’ll have a new center to protect him after Max Unger retired, and it looks like rookie Erik McCoy has the inside track on that job after the Saints traded up to grab him in the second round (No. 48 overall) of the 2019 NFL Draft.
4. Los Angeles Rams: +900 Super Bowl Odds
The Rams have a lot of holes to fill if they want their NFL Vegas odds to improve. The trenches are the focus here, with two spots open on the offensive line now that OG Rodger Saffold and center John Sullivan are gone – and a giant gap at nose tackle where Ndamukong Suh used to be. But they do have a strong receiving corps with Cooper Kupp returning from his torn ACL. Kupp may or may not be ready for their season opener versus the Carolina Panthers, though.
5. Chicago Bears: +1200 Super Bowl Odds
Chicago’s 2019 Super Bowl odds may have been a bargain at +6600, but now that they’re the defending NFC North champions, the Bears have lost all that betting value to raised expectations. They’ll have trouble meeting those expectations after leading the league with 27 interceptions (and five pick-sixes), a high-variance stat that’s difficult to reproduce from year to year.
6. Cleveland Browns: +1200 Super Bowl Odds
Cleveland’s offensive outlook for 2019-20 was downgraded slightly on Thursday when RB Duke Johnson Jr. got the trade he was looking for; he’s headed to the Houston Texans for a conditional fourth-round pick that could become a third-rounder if Johnson plays more than 10 games this year. RB Kareem Hunt (suspension, personal conduct) will miss the first eight games for the Browns.
7. Philadelphia Eagles: +1200 Super Bowl Odds
The Eagles are climbing back up the NFL lines, but they’ll have to do something about their defense after losing LB Kamu Grugier-Hill and DE Joe Ostman to knee injuries over the weekend. Grugier-Hill probably won’t be ready for the season opener against Washington, while Ostman has been placed on injured reserve.
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