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Thread: Why Kick it Deep??!

  1. #21
    Pro Bowler

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    Quote Originally Posted by Mr.wizard View Post
    It's not the onside versus a 3 and out, it's about the field position you will have after your timeouts are used. Getting the onside kick is such a low percentage play that you have to assume the Chiefs are coming away with the ball. If the Chiefs get the ball then you still need a 3 and out, the difference is if they have the ball near the 50 they have a chance to pin you deep with no chance of a punt return, as opposed to if they are punting from their own 25. Kicking it deep with 3 timeouts is the right play.
    So, the question is: "Is the 10% chance of getting the ball back worth 20 yards of field position?".

    When you need a 3 and out either way (or your D has been unable to do anything all day), I think the answer is yes.

    But you're probably in a position where you need to string together 3-4 unlikely events in a row for the decision to matter.

  2. #22
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    Quote Originally Posted by Buzz View Post
    Can't fault the decision to kick it deep at that point. Defense let us down all game long, and at the end, too.
    Boom......

  3. #23
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    Quote Originally Posted by Buzz View Post
    Can't fault the decision to kick it deep at that point. Defense let us down all game long, and at the end, too.
    isnt that a reason to onside then?
    over paid janitor......
    and proving it every post season.........

  4. #24
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    Quote Originally Posted by squidkid View Post
    isnt that a reason to onside then?
    Of course, if you knew for sure they wouldn't get the stop. But the likelihood of recovering an onside kick, under the new rules, is considerably slimmer than it used to be. Even with our D playing as bad as it had to that point in the game, odds were much better that they would stop the Chefs and get the ball back.

    With the benefit of hindsight, if we could turn back the clock, we'd all go for the onside.

  5. #25
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    Quote Originally Posted by Buzz View Post
    Of course, if you knew for sure they wouldn't get the stop. But the likelihood of recovering an onside kick, under the new rules, is considerably slimmer than it used to be. Even with our D playing as bad as it had to that point in the game, odds were much better that they would stop the Chefs and get the ball back.

    With the benefit of hindsight, if we could turn back the clock, we'd all go for the onside.
    even with a failed onside, we still would need a 3 and out from the defense tho
    over paid janitor......
    and proving it every post season.........

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