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  1. Replies
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    I agree that we should swing for the fences on...

    I agree that we should swing for the fences on late round picks.

    I'd much rather have guys with high ceilings and high chance to get cut over guys who likely top out at ST player.
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    My guess is that the 4th down call was what the...

    My guess is that the 4th down call was what the analytics would have suggested.

    Similarly, analytics probably also suggested that Carrol dialing up a passing play on the goal line was a good...
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    If I had to pick between extremes "pure emotion"...

    If I had to pick between extremes "pure emotion" vs. "pure analytics", I'd take pure analytics without question.

    That said, I think that the analytical tools we have probably still neglect or fail...
  4. I hope that we can go back to distributing...

    I hope that we can go back to distributing between multiple good (but not necessarily great) targets.

    Note that the stats you're presenting here ("A HOF QB shoulda had 40 TDs throwing THAT much")...
  5. I think your idea here is reasonable and I hope...

    I think your idea here is reasonable and I hope you're right.

    But it's also not the only possible explanation.

    Another potential explanation is that Ben's deep ball accuracy is declining with...
  6. I agree 100%. With 2 years left, I think...

    I agree 100%.

    With 2 years left, I think contract extension this year is a non issue.

    I think that development is critical for success of this team because we're relying on having good to great...
  7. This is what I'm hoping for. I think that if the...

    This is what I'm hoping for. I think that if the QB can make good decisions quickly it's a very good strategy.

    I think it will mostly depend on whether Ben can run that kind of offense.
  8. This is the mistake that I was making before...

    This is the mistake that I was making before (maybe even earlier in this thread).

    Based on comments I had read, I assumed that the upcoming season was the last in Tomlin's contract. If that were...
  9. If he equals his best totals (64 rec, 668 yards,...

    If he equals his best totals (64 rec, 668 yards, 7 TDs) think he's probably a mid-tier WR2.

    Last year, the 48th ranked WR (John Brown BAL) had 42 rec, 715 yards, and 5 TDs.

    If he gets his...
  10. I'm pretty sure you'll deflect this, but I'll try...

    I'm pretty sure you'll deflect this, but I'll try anyway.

    Saints coach Sean Peyton (who has almost the same resume as Tomlin) missed the playoffs in 4 of 5 years (2012, 14, 15, 16). In all those...
  11. Are you supposed to "Boom" yourself? ...

    Are you supposed to "Boom" yourself?

    https://media3.giphy.com/media/1nDm900wgGU1O/giphy.gif?cid=790b76115d0942e97553413673a46713&rid=giphy.gif
  12. Re: Franchise QBs They may not be all they're...

    Re: Franchise QBs

    They may not be all they're cracked up to be.

    This article talks about how they tend to take up so much of the salary cap that they make your team significantly worse in other...
  13. Ruthless, you're missing the clearly obvious...

    Ruthless, you're missing the clearly obvious point that in the following date ranges (where the team didn't sign Tomlin to a contract) they thought he was a terrible coach.

    1/23/07 - 7/12/10...
  14. Can you compare that to the success of coaches...

    Can you compare that to the success of coaches with other non-Brady franchise QBs outside of their rookie deals?

    I've tried to do this a few times (and will try again here), but another...
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    This is definitely a Tomlin-ism. I like analytics...

    This is definitely a Tomlin-ism. I like analytics a lot and think they should be used in sports more than they are.

    But, he's also right that whatever models the analytical people use don't...
  16. This. I get the comparison to AV because the...

    This.

    I get the comparison to AV because the strategy is the same. But there's a huge difference in value between LT and slot CB.
  17. I think I said this somewhere up thread, but...

    I think I said this somewhere up thread, but Lolly again says Tomlin has 2 years left.

    Lots of the conversation above seemed to assume he only has this year left (that's what I thought at times...
  18. I think we keep Switzer over Eli... And maybe...

    I think we keep Switzer over Eli... And maybe both.

    I think it's probably something like: Juju, Moncrief, Washington, Johnson, Switzer,... then Rogers or Spencer (I think Rogers)
  19. I hope you're right about Moncrief. He had had...

    I hope you're right about Moncrief. He had had some bad QB play (and some time with Luck too).

    I think I said this before, but it does seem like we have three gambles going on at WR (Moncrief,...
  20. FWIW, I'd like to see at least one more year from...

    FWIW, I'd like to see at least one more year from Conner so that we know he's not Peyton Hillis. I'd also like to see a season where he doesn't miss significant time with injury (remember how we...
  21. Cap, give me that D and I'm less worried about...

    Cap, give me that D and I'm less worried about our O.

    We're a team that will probably need the O to carry us. And we have a bunch of ?s and little too no depth anywhere.

    I get that people...
  22. We have lots of hope on O, not much proven talent.

    We have lots of hope on O, not much proven talent.
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    Hoping Johnson (and Washington) can make an...

    Hoping Johnson (and Washington) can make an impact this year.
  24. Can you define productive? Seems likely to me...

    Can you define productive?

    Seems likely to me that Bud will have more snaps and that should lead to more tackles. Bud's clearly not the DPOY candidate he was hyped to be a few seasons ago, but...
  25. I don't think we'll cut him this year. I can't...

    I don't think we'll cut him this year.

    I can't remember the last time we cut a 1st round pick before his contact was up. I don't think we'll start now.

    He's shown that he can play (low end...
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