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NorthCoast
05-23-2009, 09:52 AM
Not sure if this has been posted before but someone has done the math and it looks awfully damning:


Sep 15, 2007
Belichick Cheating Evidence?

One of the more apparent signs that a spy or corrupt official is cheating is that he is living a lifestyle beyond his means.

If Belichick's Patriots exploited unfair advantages in stealing signs from opposing sidelines we would expect to see some sort of evidence that they won games "beyond their means." By means I am referring to the Patriots' passing and running performance on offense and defense.

By successfully exploiting stolen signs, we might expect the Patriots to choose to use that advantage on critical plays--3rd downs in the 4th quarter for example. These critical plays would heavily "leverage" performance on the field to be converted into wins. In other words, the Patriots would win more games than their on field stats would indicate.

This is exactly what we see in the data. Year-in and year-out, Belichick's Patriots have won about 2 more games than expected given their offensive and defensive efficiencies, including turnovers and penalties. No other modern team has even come close to the Patriots in consistently winning more games than their stats indicate. Could those extra wins be due to cheating?

http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_ksxjg7CFQxA/RoVXw3t6LqI/AAAAAAAAB00/eY1xid_k7aw/s400/table+1.PNG

For a comparison of other teams' actual/expected wins charts, see this article. When I first discovered this pattern, I believed it was evidence of Belichick's in-game "genius." He was known for some unconventional tactics, such as going for it on 4th downs more often than his counterparts. (I'd go for it on 4th down too if I knew the play the defense would run.)

In a previous article, I ranked every head coach since 1983 in terms of how many excess wins they had above their expected wins based on team efficiency. Belichick's career, as a whole, was rather average due to his poor results in Cleveland. But by isolating his tenure with New England, his excess wins per season would rank him as the best tactical coach ever, with an extra +2.33 wins per season. The rest of the pack is far behind with the 2nd best coach at +1.83 wins per season. Belichick is a true outlier, at almost 3 standard deviations above the mean.

This is only circumstantial evidence of cheating, but it is evidence. And although hardly damning, we can be sure of one thing about Belichick--he is willing to cheat. If someone has crossed the line by breaking one rule, what makes you think he's not willing to break others?

On some other sites I've read some emotional comments rationalizing the Patriots' cheating. Whether other teams have attempted this or not is not relevant. Patriots fans and Belichick fans must accept the possibility that much of their success has been due to cheating. What I've done here has added weight to that possibility and quantified the potential scope of this scandal. At the very least, we would be justified in continuing to investigate the Patriots' methods.

Note: Some other examples of teams' expected vs. actual wins can be found here. Also, since this post is appearing on many other sites recently, I've posted a response to many of the excellent comments and criticisms over the past several months.

http://www.advancednflstats.com/2007/09/belichick-and-sign-stealing.html

Some of the rebuttals are trying to downplay the evidence, but the magnitude of the deviation almost certainly causes one to ponder....

Djfan
05-23-2009, 12:18 PM
I clicked on the link and my spyware program came up witha a warning about a worm trying to get in. Be careful.

Maybe the revenge of a bitter *Pats fan?

TallyStiller
05-23-2009, 07:21 PM
This is the case I have been trying to make for years. If they gained an advantage on just 5 plays per game, it would be good for 3 more wins a season... 9 - 7 becomes 12 - 4, 11 - 5 becomes 14 - 2... and your team has an astonishing propensity for coming up with big plays in clutch situations while employing seemingly average players.

As it stands, this year will be when we begin to find out for real. '07 after "Spygate" was the biggest crock of sh*t in the history of sports - they still had the advantage garnered from the tapes, other teams were still having to signal defenses from the sidelines... of course they blew people out when Belicheat decided to throw a fit because he got ratted out.

Then, the NFL did the absolute MINIMUM it had to do in order to maintain the integrity of it's game by giving defensive captains a helmet radio (the MAXIMUM it could have done, of course, would have been a lifetime ban for Belicheat). So '08 set up to be the true measure of how the Pats*** would perform without the benefit of KNOWING EVERY PLAY THE OTHER SIDE WAS CALLING AS THEY CALLED IT, but then Brady went down and they played the season with a backup (and sat at home in January... Pats*** fans will argue that their 11 - 5 was the best record ever to miss the postseason, but I would ask "who'd they play?" We'd've matched their tainted 16 - 0 without the cheating against the same cream puff slate).

Now we find out for real. The Pats*** play the slate with the strong divisions in it this time, and now they can't do it in Cheat mode... All the national media morons have crowned them the team to beat this season, but you heard here first that the "team to beat" WILL get beat... a lot more than anybody thinks.

steeler_fan_in_t.o.
05-24-2009, 11:40 AM
I still think that they used a bigger advantage than sign stealing. Teams used to complain that their radio equipment would mysteriously go down during late drives when they crossed midfield in Foxboro. Once, twice, might just be some SNAFU. However, reports like hat surfaced enough times that you had to know that it was not a coincidence.

fezziwig
05-25-2009, 09:41 PM
I can remember those games very well and I honestly remember saying to whom ever I was watching the games with, " look, it's as if they know the plays before we call them, no one is always in the correct position at the exaact moment all the time, is Cowher so predictable ? "

Hines Ward even complained that they were calling out their signals.

LeBeau was asked last year what he thought about spygate and did it have any affect on the games. Lebeau response was, " it would be a lot easier for our team or teams if the Patricheats weren't doing what they were doing."

He took the high road but it boils down to, yes they were cheating and did well by it.

You'll have cheat fans say, all teams do that but , that is just to defend their actions. Could any of you see Noll, Cowher or Tomlin pulling a stunt like that ?
When you have no integrity you feel others are as low as you I guess.
If the cheating didn't help them then, why cheat ? Why cheat, get caught and continue to cheat if it wasn't a plus ?

I believe it was Art Modell that questioned Bellicheats henchman that was the signal theif or did that breakdown on the cheating when Modell made the comment, " I'll pay $10,000.00 if someone tells me what this man job is on Bellicheats staff."
i can't remember the name he called out but, Modell knew darn well what he was implying.

Mel Blount's G
05-26-2009, 12:22 AM
Old news.

:arrow: Pats cheated. Super Bowls were "won" within the time frame of their cheating

:arrow: League confiscated evidence

:arrow: League's huge surplus of cash was at risk if this evidence of cheating were made public and objective analysts were to draw conclusions

:arrow: League destroyed all evidence to avoid this very real possibility of a huge financial mess on their hands due to what would have been brought to light (i.e. The Truth). No objective, unbiased outside eyes saw the evidence before it was destroyed for good



Old News.

RuthlessBurgher
05-26-2009, 09:46 AM
I can remember those games very well and I honestly remember saying to whom ever I was watching the games with, " look, it's as if they know the plays before we call them, no one is always in the correct position at the exaact moment all the time, is Cowher so predictable ? "

Hines Ward even complained that they were calling out their signals.

LeBeau was asked last year what he thought about spygate and did it have any affect on the games. Lebeau response was, " it would be a lot easier for our team or teams if the Patricheats weren't doing what they were doing."

He took the high road but it boils down to, yes they were cheating and did well by it.

You'll have cheat fans say, all teams do that but , that is just to defend their actions. Could any of you see Noll, Cowher or Tomlin pulling a stunt like that ?
When you have no integrity you feel others are as low as you I guess.
If the cheating didn't help them then, why cheat ? Why cheat, get caught and continue to cheat if it wasn't a plus ?

I believe it was Art Modell that questioned Bellicheats henchman that was the signal theif or did that breakdown on the cheating when Modell made the comment, " I'll pay $10,000.00 if someone tells me what this man job is on Bellicheats staff."
i can't remember the name he called out but, Modell knew darn well what he was implying.

You mean Ernie Adams?

http://sports.espn.go.com/espn/eticket/story?page=adams


PHOENIX -- You don't notice Ernie Adams at first, but he's always there in his own peculiar way. Walking the halls in the Patriots' complex, lost in his own thoughts, he will often ignore co-workers. In meetings, he has been known to fall asleep. After practice, he is almost always the first person Bill Belichick consults. On game day, he's in the press box with a headset on, running numbers, computing percentages and, some around the league insinuate, overseeing more insidious operations.

When Belichick is taking those lonely walks up and down the sideline, his head bowed as if in prayer, you can bet it's Ernie Adams yapping away in Belichick's ear. Some call him the smartest man they've ever met. A longtime NFL watcher compares him to "Q," James Bond's master of espionage and gadgetry. Author David Halberstam called him "Belichick's Belichick." No other team has anyone like him on its payroll. And yet, save for football insiders, he is virtually unknown. In an era of media oversaturation, there is exactly one more picture of Bigfoot on The Associated Press photo wire (two) than there is of Adams (one). And it's of the back of his head.

So here, in the ballroom of the Phoenix Convention Center, just six days before New England will attempt to complete a perfect season that Adams played a significant role in creating, I want to know what the almost-perfect Patriots think about their secret weapon: a guy with thick glasses and the sartorial sensibility of Mister Rogers; a guy who lived with his mother until she died three years ago.

Who, exactly, is Ernie Adams?

"I don't know what his job title is," linebacker Adalius Thomas says. "I didn't even know his last name was Adams."

"Ernie is a bit of a mystery to all of us," offensive tackle Matt Light says. "I'm not sure what Ernie does, but I'm sure whatever it is, he's good at it."

Finally, I approach receiver Wes Welker. "I'm writing a story about Ernie Adams," I tell him.

"Who?" he says.

"The guy who's always with Belichick who doesn't ever really talk."

"Oh," he says, recognition washing over his face. "Ernie."

He thinks for a second. "He's got to be a genius," he says, "because he looks like one."

THE FRIENDSHIP
This is why God created best friends. Inside a cavernous church, Ernie Adams sat through his mother's funeral, the saddest day of a man's life, and by his side, where he'd been for years, was Bill Belichick. Sept. 25, 2004 was a beautiful New England day, a Saturday morning during the Patriots' bye week. In the tree-lined suburb of Brookline, Mass., a small crowd had gathered in the Gothic Revival Episcopal Church on the corner of St. Paul Street and Aspinwall Avenue. The stone bell tower rose cold and medieval against the fall blue sky.

The mourners had come to say goodbye to Helen Adams, a woman who loved education and adored her son even more. Ernie and Helen lived together, like something out of a Victorian novel, one friend said, with much doting and an occasional trip to the old continent. At the end, Ernie took care of his mother. In the crowd were friends from childhood, high school and college. One of them was the headmaster of Dexter School, where Ernie went to elementary and junior high. "I was struck by the loyalty of Belichick to Ernie," Bill Phinney says.

That bond is the cornerstone of the Patriots' dynasty. In many ways, the traits we associate with Belichick and the Patriots are traits commonly ascribed to Adams. The humble pie? Classic Ernie, frequently described as having no ego. The rumpled hoodie? Again, classmates remember, classic Ernie. Together, Adams and Belichick have created the transcendently successful franchise they dreamed of creating back in high school.

"It's really the story of a friendship," says Michael Carlisle, a successful literary agent who was Adams' high school roommate at Andover.

Adams and Belichick met in 1970. Adams had been at Phillips Academy in Andover, an elite New England boarding school, for three years. In that time, he'd become a campus legend, famous for his quirky attire and habits. He wore high-top cleats and old-fashioned clothes, looked and talked like something from the 1940s. His three obsessions were Latin, naval history and, strangely, football. So he consumed books, mostly obscure titles, with a scholar's thirst. One he ran across was called "Football Scouting Methods" by a Navy assistant coach named Steve Belichick. As Halberstam details in his biography of Belichick, "Education of a Coach," only about 400 people bought the book: professional scouts and 14-year-old Ernie Adams. So, imagine Adams' surprise when, as his senior year was beginning, he walked out onto the football field and encountered a young man with "Belichick" written on tape across the front of his helmet.

Bill Belichick had recently enrolled at Andover for a post-grad year, hoping to raise his grades and test scores so he could get into a good college. A few questions confirmed Adams' suspicions. Are you from Annapolis? Are you related to Steve? Yes and yes. Belichick thought it was strange that a kid would have read his dad's book. Adams recognized something familiar in Belichick. He recognized himself. "He actually was pretty good in his judgment of people," says Hale Sturges, the professor in charge of South Adams Hall, where Adams lived.

They've been like brothers ever since, spending hours after practice breaking down film, diagramming famous plays of Vince Lombardi, Adams' idol. They snuck into Boston College practices to "scout." Together, they played on the undefeated Andover team, the first time the two men tasted perfection.

Adams got his first big break after college, starting as an administrative assistant with the Patriots in 1975 and landing an actual assistant coach's job with the New York Giants in 1979. Immediately, he told Giants coach Ray Perkins there was another young coach he should hire. Something in Adams' voice made Perkins listen. Adams was already a man who demanded trust; Perkins calls Adams' opinion on football "gospel." So, Perkins picked up his phone and set up a meeting. After three hours in a hotel room, he had his new special teams coach: Bill Belichick. "Ernie's recommendation opened a big door for Belichick," Perkins says.

Belichick's career took off. He had something inside him that Adams did not -- maybe ego, maybe a hunger for greatness and glory. But wherever Belichick went, Adams soon followed, his arrival buried in the agate pages or reporters' midweek notebooks, his job title sufficiently vague to inspire more questions than answers. But there he was, in the background, breaking down film, offering Belichick unfettered honesty. When the Browns hired him, Halberstam wrote, it was Adams who cautioned Belichick to read the description of owner Art Modell in Paul Brown's book. "Don't say you weren't warned," Adams said. "It's all spelled out."

Stop after stop, no one was really sure how Adams spent his days, only that he had Belichick's ear. "When they talk," Carlisle says, "Bill knows that Ernie goes back to 1970. There is no bulls--- between them."

THE JOB
This brings us to the million-dollar question: Behind the quirks and the strange attire and the random attacks of sleep, what is it that Ernie Adams, you know, does? Years ago, Modell offered $10,000 to anyone who could tell him. No one could. A few years back, during a team film session, the Patriots players put up a slide of Adams. The caption read: "What does this man do?" Everyone cracked up. But no one knew.

In the broadest definition, Adams seems to be a man who loves to be in the background of greatness. Many things have his fingerprints on them, such as the game plan that engineered the upset of the Rams in Super Bowl XXXVI. Yes, Adams and Belichick figured out how to neutralize Marshall Faulk on the plane ride to New Orleans. Adams is involved in a lot of surprising things; he's a kind of "Forrest Gump" of sporting success. Like, say, the best-selling book "Friday Night Lights," which documented high school football, and later became a movie and a television show. That's right. "I'm indebted to him because he really turned me on to Odessa, Texas," says author Buzz Bissinger, who went to Andover with Adams and Belichick.

Adams' contributions to the Patriots begin with film. Hours and hours of film, often in his darkened office. He has been doing this for years, first at Northwestern in the early 1970s, where he convinced coaches to let him go from student-manager to scout. "He was a prodigy," says Rick Venturi, an assistant on that Wildcats team.

By now, after years of evolution, Adams sees film differently. Not just as random actions, but a genealogy of the game of football. When a defender moves, he recalls watching or having read about the first time a defender moved like that, even if it was 50 years ago, and he knows why, which tells him how to counteract the move. He has a photographic memory. Perkins tells a story of Adams' memorizing the Giants' thick playbook. In one night.

So, every week, the Patriots get the kind of analysis that only high-powered hedge funds or, say, NASA can afford. "Nine times out of 10," Bissinger says, "Ernie sees something nobody else sees."

That memory and those hours of studying film make him an unparalleled resource for assistant coaches. Want to know what a team does, and why? Want to know what a team has done on third-and-short in the red zone in the past 10 years on the road? Ask Adams. He'll know.

Adams' reach doesn't stop there. The Patriots are famous for compartmentalizing: The scouts can't watch practice, the game planners don't know who they are going to draft, and so on. But Adams is into everything. During the draft, according to Michael Holley's "Patriot Reign," he's in charge of running through the team's value chart, figuring out who will best fit their needs. This is the perfect assignment for someone who spent several years in the late 1980s as an analyst and trader on Wall Street and, as an investor, is known for spotting profitable trends shockingly early.

Pats owner Robert Kraft, a successful businessman in his own right, discusses economics with Adams. Belichick jokes that he wishes Adams would manage his portfolio. And the roots of the Patriots' insistence on value, and not letting emotion get in the way of sound investments, sound like they might have sprung from the mind of one Ernie Adams. "Warren Buffett and Ernie are actually somewhat similar," Carlisle says. "I have met Warren Buffet. Warren is one of these people who is phenomenally rigorous in his analysis. If there was someone you might associate with Ernie, it is someone who is [also] slightly asocial."

Adams' official title is director of football research, and he does a lot of that, too, trolling the world for things that might offer the slightest advantage. A year or two ago, an Andover teammate ran across an obscure out-of-print book on nonlinear mathematics. He thought Adams might find a use for it, so he mailed it to him. Adams had already read it. Or there's Rutgers statistics professor Harold Sackrowitz, who got a call from Adams a few years back. Adams wanted to talk about some research Sackrowitz had just completed, dealing with how teams try two-point conversions far too often. Adams sent the professor the Patriots' when-to-go-for-two chart, and asked Sackrowitz to tear it apart. Of the 32 NFL teams, the statistician told the New York Times, only the Patriots called.

Here's another example: The academic paper of a Berkeley researcher, referenced in the same Times story, dealt with how teams punt on fourth down far too often. That paper ended up on Belichick's desk. Now, how do you imagine it got there?

On game day, Adams wears a headset in the press box, a direct line to Belichick. Adams advises Belichick on which plays to challenge, and charts trends. "The one thing the Patriots do better than anyone else is they adjust and make halftime adjustments," Sturges says. "Ernie Adams is the guy who does that."

Are there other game-day duties? While it is commonly accepted that most teams try to steal signals, and New England was actually caught in the well-publicized Spygate incident, one former Patriots insider said a videotape of signals wouldn't help the other 31 teams nearly as much because they wouldn't have Ernie Adams there to quickly analyze and process the information.

And, if any of this happens to be true, Adams' love of military history suggests he might see deciphering signals as just part of winning a battle. Friends say he is wildly competitive. "Behind the exterior of a guy who lived with his mother," Bissinger says, "he is a guy who is really savage about winning games."

THE MAN
But that doesn't totally answer the question, does it? Knowing what Adams does cannot explain where a mind like his comes from. Did it come fully formed from the womb, or was it created slowly? Certainly, at an early age, he searched for strong male influences. His father, who wasn't around much, was a career Navy officer. As he grew up, Adams studied naval history and tactics almost as much as he studied football. But from the beginning, there was something strange about him. As a high school teammate describes him: "Odd, in a good sense."

Dexter athletic director George Dalrymple hasn't forgotten the first time he ever saw Adams. The boy was in third grade and Dalrymple walked into the locker room to find, gathered in total silence, a group of first and second graders. In the center stood Ernie, reading them "Winnie the Pooh." That year, Adams began playing football. He adored the game, latching on to Coach Dal. A quote from Vince Lombardi in the coach's office would stay with Adams, inspiring a lifelong love affair. Football is only two things. Blocking and tackling. Even then, Adams showed hints of what was to come. His favorite play, installed at his request, was a goal-line, tackle-eligible play. Adams was the decoy. The play almost always worked. He didn't mind not getting the credit. "It was part of winning," Dalrymple says. "He liked to win."

While in sixth and seventh grades, Adams read Lombardi's book "Run to Daylight" about 20 times. His obsessive personality drew him further into the web of this game, one with X's and O's he could control, men he could make appear whenever he wanted. It was simple, something missing in the 1960s. The campus and nearby Harvard were exploding in anger over the Vietnam War. Everything was turned upside down. "He was very old-fashioned," Bissinger says. "He was sort of the Lombardi era. Something about him was out of the 1940s. He was just different. He had no knowledge of rock 'n' roll or sex or drugs. The [high] school was rampant with it. Everyone was stoned. Everyone was drinking. And there was Ernie in his high-top cleats talking football with the head coach."

Still, the environment at Andover encouraged his searching. He has been lucky that way. His entire educational life, he has lived and studied in incubators of creativity. Dexter educated John F. Kennedy and Washington Post legend Ben Bradlee. Andover is famous for its students, too. Dr. Spock went there. So did Samuel Morse and Duncan Sheik, as did both Presidents Bush, and Jeb Bush, who graduated with Adams. (Scooter Libby also went to school with Adams.) Humphrey Bogart went to Andover. Jack Lemmon, too. Bart Giamatti and Bill Veeck. Senators, ambassadors, Medal of Honor winners, Nobel laureates. Andover is a place that encourages its students to dream of greatness and achieve it. Only, they didn't quite know what to do with a kid who wanted to be great at football. Teachers wrote worried letters to his mother. So did Sturges, who thought Adams had the potential to do anything he desired. "I wanted him to try different things and move out of his little cubicle-type thinking," he says. "It never really happened."

But Adams took his task seriously, devoting his senior project to the study of the Andover football team's tendencies. "We throw around too many words," Bissinger says. "We throw around 'brilliant' too much and 'genius' too much, but I really believe this: Ernie was a scholar at football. And he was a scholar at football at Andover. Kids were scholars of physics. Kids were scholars of Latin. Kids were scholars of math. And here was this sweet, goofy guy who was a scholar of football."

THE MIND
That is how this mind was molded, but still, it does not take us into the mind itself. Only Ernie Adams can do that, and he won't. You might have noticed Adams isn't quoted here. He's rarely quoted anywhere or, for that matter, seen anywhere. Especially this week, when he's searching for the tiniest advantage. "Look for him at Super Bowl parties," Sturges told me. "Look for him. And I bet you won't find him. He is going to spend every minute out there preparing for this football game. It means everything to him."

Adams is private. Dalrymple even said Adams kept his mom's obituary out of the Boston papers. So you can never really tell what is going on in his head. But I did get Carlisle to call Adams on Monday and ask for his five favorite books, hoping to get a window into the places a man like him goes for inspiration. Here is the list:


"The Best and the Brightest," by David Halberstam


"The Money Masters of Our Time," by John Train


Robert Caro's three-volume biography of Lyndon B. Johnson


Robert Massie's biography of Peter the Great


William Manchester's two-part biography of Winston Churchill

What does this list say about someone who won't say anything about himself?

Obviously, he admires great men. His reading list includes Warren Buffett, featured in Train's cult classic on investing, presidents, czars, prime ministers. Adams seems to enjoy the tiny spaces inside great lives, seeing them from behind the curtain. Could that be behind his close connection with Belichick?

Adams also seems to enjoy not only watching greatness work, but also seeing it fail. Carlisle thinks the central message of Halberstam's Vietnam classic appeals to Adams: that people incredibly well-educated and well-intentioned could be so flat-out wrong about something. It's a helpful notion to keep in mind about the conventional-wisdom-obsessed world of football, where pedigree and tradition dictate many overly conservative decisions. Indeed, when Adams agreed to participate in Halberstam's Belichick book, he did so with this caveat: For every two questions the journalist got to ask Adams about football, Adams got to ask one back about Vietnam. Did that trait allow Adams to make sure the mistakes of Belichick in Cleveland were not repeated? Maybe.

One theory is Adams enjoys these books because, as has happened in his daily life, it gives him a chance to be next to greatness. Carlisle has a different take: Adams isn't drawn to the subjects so much as the authors, men who devoted their lives to scholarship. All of his favorite writers studied power in various forms, from Caro's investigations into the acquiring of power to Manchester's studies of those who wielded it: JFK, Rockefeller, MacArthur, Churchill, Magellan.

Remember that if you happen to catch a glimpse of Ernie Adams on Sunday, wearing a headset in the press box, in the ear of a coaching legend. Think about the miracles of fate that brought him from a book-lined room in South Adams Hall to the center of the football universe. Look into the quiet corners of the Patriots' success and see a man who seems more fascinated with those who study greatness than those who are great themselves.

Wright Thompson is a senior writer for ESPN.com and ESPN The Magazine. He can be reached at wrightespn@gmail.com. If you are Ernie Adams, please contact the writer.

http://www.boston.com/sports/football/patriots/articles/2008/02/03/adamss_role_its_top_secret/


Adams's role? It's top secret
By Bob Hohler
Globe Staff / February 3, 2008

PHOENIX - You think you know this guy: A former Phillips Andover football player who went on to coach for the New York Giants and Cleveland Browns before he helped guide the New England Patriots to three Super Bowl championships and establish himself as one of the NFL's great football minds.

Tom Brady once said the man "knows more about professional football than anyone I ever met."

His teammates agree. The guy is such a walking football encyclopedia, Mike Vrabel said, that "he's like Google."

You might say the man is Bill Belichick.

But you would be wrong. And you would not be alone.

His name is Adams. Ernie Adams.

"Nobody knows who he is," said former Patriots coach Chuck Fairbanks, who gave Adams his first NFL job in 1975. "But Bill Belichick has a righthand man, and it's Ernie Adams."

One of the most influential and unrecognizable difference-makers in New England sports, Adams is Belichick's best friend and most trusted adviser in football, the genius behind the gridiron genius, a mystery man whose fingerprints are all over the Patriots' mini-dynasty yet is all but unknown beyond Gillette Stadium.

Adams, who played football at Andover with Belichick, reports directly to the Patriots coach - he speaks into his headset during games - and has his hands on so many facets of the organization that even the team's top assistants struggle to define his role. His official title is football research director.

Asked to describe how Adams contributes to the Patriots, assistant head coach Dante Scarnecchia said, "Who?"

"Ernie Adams," he was told.

"Oh . . . well, yeah, OK," he said. "I don't know. Ask Bill."

Defensive coordinator Dean Pees said, "You really would have to ask Bill."

Surely, Scott Pioli, the vice president of player personnel, would know. Pioli also worked with Belichick and Adams for the Cleveland Browns, whose owner, Art Modell, once famously declared, "I'll pay anyone here $10,000 if they can tell me what Ernie Adams does."

So, Mr. Pioli, what does Adams do?

"Some of that information is top secret," he said, smiling.

Former Patriots receiver Christian Fauria described Adams's role as "very mysterious."

"He's a guy who looks like he should be working for NASA," Fauria said. "I never really knew what he did, but sometimes I felt like he was pulling all the strings."

Football, 24/7

Belichick, asked to describe his relationship with Adams, cited their friendship at Andover, where Belichick played center and Adams left guard. The two were renowned for analyzing football strategy in their dorm rooms, drawing up plays on scrap paper.

Football scholars, they have charted a similar course since prep school, working together to master the game, pursuing perfection like few other partners in NFL history. They are the Alexander Graham Bell and Thomas Watson of football.

"Ernie's a guy that I have the confidence to bounce pretty much anything off of," Belichick said. "I think he's got a great football mind and he's been a very valuable resource for our organization and for me personally."

Adams had nothing to say, declining through the Patriots to be interviewed. Several of his friends also declined interview requests out of respect for him, saying he is intensely private.

"He'll probably be at mad at me for talking about him," Fairbanks said.

When Fairbanks first met him, Adams and Belichick were NFL wannabes, college kids - Adams a student manager of the Northwestern football team, Belichick a marginal football player for Division 3 Wesleyan - who believed they could make a difference as professional coaches.

They breathed and bled football. Belichick's father, Steve, served as a highly respected assistant at Navy and wrote an obscure gridiron primer, "Football Scouting Methods," that few people read. One of those people was Adams, who consumed it before Belichick arrived at Andover.

Adams was so passionate about football at an early age, David Halberstam observed in his book, "The Education of a Coach," that a teacher assigned him to coach the intramural team at Dexter School in Brookline before he finished the eighth grade.

At Andover, the team went undefeated with Adams and Belichick blocking next to each other. It was 1970, a time of social and political upheaval when breaking rules seemed the cultural norm. Yet Adams and Belichick impressed classmates not only with their football pedigrees but their integrity.

Adams, 54, who owns a house near Coolidge Corner in Brookline that he shared with his mother until she died in 2004, is the son of a Naval officer.

"It wasn't surprising that Bill's father coached at the Naval Academy and Ernie's father was a Naval officer because of the way they presented themselves," said Dana Seero, the right tackle on Andover's 1970 team. "Their word was their bond. They wouldn't be friends if they weren't rock solid."

And determined.

Fairbanks recalled Adams bugging him so often for an unpaid job with the Patriots that Fairbanks finally asked an assistant, Hank Bullough, to evaluate him.

"I said, 'Take this kid, give him last year's playbook, and see if there's anything he can learn,' " Fairbanks said. "Two days later, Hank calls me and says, 'Coach, this damn kid knows the whole book already.' "

Fairbanks then told Bullough to give Adams the defensive playbook. Two days later, Bullough said Adams had memorized that one as well.

"So I told Ernie to stick around and we would find something for him to do," Fairbanks said. "I came to find out later he has a photographic memory."

Fairbanks soon started his staff meetings by asking anyone if they needed advice about the stock market. Adams, it turned out, absorbed the stock pages every morning.

"I've got Ernie right here," Fairbanks would tell his staff. "He can tell you the price of any stock on the market."

Before long, Fairbanks assigned Adams to prepare scouting reports on the Patriots' next opponents.

"Every Monday morning, I got the most thorough report that I have ever gotten from anybody in my whole career in football," Fairbanks said.

Side by side

When the Giants hired a former Patriots assistant, Ray Perkins, as their head coach in 1979, Perkins promptly hired Adams. And Adams persuaded Perkins to hire Belichick, which began their march into NFL history.

Soon, Adams was New York's quarterbacks coach, heady stuff for a 26-year-old who had never played the position, and Belichick, 27, was coaching special teams.

They stayed together until 1985, with Adams moving up to become director of pro personnel before he resigned to take a lucrative job as a Wall Street bond trader. He left, he said later, because he became frustrated with the Giants job.

But Adams saw Belichick grow enough before he left the Meadowlands to realize his friend had a special gift. He told Halberstam Belichick had "the rarest kind of ability - the ability to see the game as if it were over, even as it was being played."

It was a gift others have seen in Adams. His ability to analyze video, statistics, and scouting reports, and apply his findings to game situations is considered all but unrivaled.

"He's one of those guys who sits back and evaluates something and when he talks everybody listens because he's right on the money," said Gary Tranquill, one of the first two assistants Belichick hired when he was named Cleveland's head coach in 1991.

The other assistant? Adams.

A reporter for the Cleveland Plain Dealer asked Adams why he would forsake making millions on Wall Street to carry a whistle and clipboard for the Browns.

"I'm not money-motivated," he said in a rare public moment. "I don't look at life in terms of how many chips I can pile up. The important thing in life is to challenge yourself and enjoy what you're doing."

No sooner did Belichick take over the Patriots in 2000 than Adams became his research director. Though the title lacks cachet and the Patriots media guide devotes only a few more lines to Adams's profile than video assistant Matt Estrella's, Adams explained his role with the team this way to Andover's alumni magazine: "Think of things that help us win."

In 2002, Adams collaborated with Belichick on his best-known contribution, a plan to help the Patriots upset the high-scoring, heavily favored Rams in Super Bowl XXXVI for the first championship in the franchise's 42-year history. The strategy, based on research that showed the Rams' offense revolved excessively around running back Marshall Faulk, called for the Patriots to attack Faulk on virtually every play.

Final score: Patriots 20, Rams 17.

"For all I know, the guy might have [Superman's] 'S' under his shirt," Fauria said of Adams. "That's the kind of impact he has on the team."

The impact stems in part from Adams's robust appetite for knowledge, long one of his trademarks. Seero, his former Andover classmate, thought he was doing Adams a favor a couple of years ago when he sent him a book, "Chaos: The Making of a New Science," a challenging work that explores the intricacies of chaos theory.

Adams had already read it.

Part of the wonder of Adams, Seero suggested, is how he applies his intellect to sport.

"He and Bill have a war-college approach to football," Seero said. "They leave no stone unturned."

Crunching numbers

After Harold Sackrowitz, a statistics professor at Rutgers, produced a strategy chart several years ago that could help coaches decide whether to kick an extra point or go for 2 after a touchdown, many NFL teams contacted him but none expressed as much interest as Adams.

"I was impressed by Ernie because he was the only person who actually wanted to find out how the table worked and how he could use it," Sackrowitz said. "He got to what was really important. He wanted to know where the gray areas were and where it was black and white."

Adams later asked Sackrowitz to evaluate a strategy table Adams had developed for the Patriots, and Sackrowitz disagreed with elements of it.

"I'm not sure I was able to change Ernie's mind," Sackrowitz said, "but he was willing to listen."

The way Fauria sees it, he would have scored in the 2004 Super Bowl had Adams differently evaluated one situation.

"I think he was directly responsible for me not getting a touchdown," Fauria said.

With the Patriots leading Carolina, 14-10, they had second and goal at the Carolina 4 in the fourth quarter when Tom Brady threw to Fauria in the end zone. Fauria was ruled out of bounds, but he believed he was inbounds and was certain replays would prove him right if the Patriots challenged the ruling.

However, Carolina was flagged for defensive holding on the play. As a result, Fauria said, Adams considered whether it was wiser for the Patriots to challenge the ruling - and risk losing a down if the challenge failed - or accept a sure thing with the penalty: a first and goal at the Carolina 2.

Belichick, with Adams in his ear, accepted the penalty. The Patriots scored on the next play, a 2-yard run by Antowain Smith, and went on to win the Super Bowl, 32-29.

But Fauria has no hard feelings.

"I think every team should have a guy like Ernie," he said. "I see games won and lost every week because of little things, situational stuff."

The stuff Adams does best.

Bob Hohler can be reached at hohler@globe.com.

flippy
05-26-2009, 10:04 AM
Brady and Bellichick should get in the HOF after Barry Bonds gets in.

It's funny how steroids are a big deal in baseball, but what the Pats did is forgivable and makes them a modern dynasty.

Whatever, the past is over.

And at the end of the day, it's the Pats and their fans that have to live with their legacy.

And I'm sure the pride they feel for those victories is somewhat hollow.

Mister Pittsburgh
05-26-2009, 02:44 PM
The Patriots success has more to do with Ernie Adams than Bill Bellicheck. Adams has a photographic memory. There isn't anything illegal about employing rain man in the booth, but that combined with the videotaping is tough to compete against. How do you out play someone who knows whats coming next just due to an alignment or the way someone motions or where your linebackers line up.

fezziwig
05-26-2009, 03:39 PM
Thanks for his name and the information. I knew his name sounded like Wormy.

The cheating that he does he should be known as Wormy Adams.

Mister Pittsburgh
05-26-2009, 04:03 PM
Thanks for his name and the information. I knew his name sounded like Wormy.

The cheating that he does he should be known as Wormy Adams.

What they did is essentially like counting cards at a casino. It isn't illegal, but if the casino owner figures it out, you should get your knees bashed in with a crowbar! Instead they got a slap on the wrist.

Bellicheat is just a dirtbag.....google him and look at all the dirty stuff he is into.

stlrz d
05-26-2009, 04:17 PM
Thanks for his name and the information. I knew his name sounded like Wormy.

The cheating that he does he should be known as Wormy Adams.

What they did is essentially like counting cards at a casino. It isn't illegal, but if the casino owner figures it out, you should get your knees bashed in with a crowbar! Instead they got a slap on the wrist.

Bellicheat is just a dirtbag.....google him and look at all the dirty stuff he is into.

The taping of signals is what made it illegal.

Mister Pittsburgh
05-26-2009, 05:58 PM
[quote=fezziwig]Thanks for his name and the information. I knew his name sounded like Wormy.

The cheating that he does he should be known as Wormy Adams.

What they did is essentially like counting cards at a casino. It isn't illegal, but if the casino owner figures it out, you should get your knees bashed in with a crowbar! Instead they got a slap on the wrist.

Bellicheat is just a dirtbag.....google him and look at all the dirty stuff he is into.

The taping of signals is what made it illegal.[/quote:1btkyw0u]

Yep. Well aware.

Starlifter
05-26-2009, 10:20 PM
Old news.

:arrow: Pats cheated. Super Bowls were "won" within the time frame of their cheating

:arrow: League confiscated evidence

:arrow: League's huge surplus of cash was at risk if this evidence of cheating were made public and objective analysts were to draw conclusions

:arrow: League destroyed all evidence to avoid this very real possibility of a huge financial mess on their hands due to what would have been brought to light (i.e. The Truth). No objective, unbiased outside eyes saw the evidence before it was destroyed for good



Old News.

nothing else needs to be said. pats cheated, NFL suspected but did nothing till the jets made the accusation formal and word got out. way too late at that point. if they validated what we all knew it would have destroyed credibility and seriously jeopardized the cash flow. can't have that. evidence destroyed, cheaters proclaimed legitimate, hope it all goes away. won't happen though, asterisks live forever.......

BATMAN
05-27-2009, 12:23 AM
Starlifter is right, they can't jeprodize their NFL money making monopoly because of some coach, team and owners cheating desire to win outside the rules and integrity.

All the team owners and the NFL knew to sweep this before everything was exposed that, the Cheaters screwed the nation of the true outcome of the games and sport.

Almost reminds of the old rule of thumb, make the lazy worker the boss, he isn't going to do any work anyway.